Projections of an ice-free Arctic Ocean

A Jahn, MM Holland, JE Kay - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 2024 - nature.com
Observed Arctic sea ice losses are a sentinel of anthropogenic climate change. These
reductions are projected to continue with ongoing warming, ultimately leading to an ice-free …

Future sea ice weakening amplifies wind-driven trends in surface stress and Arctic Ocean spin-up

M Muilwijk, T Hattermann, T Martin… - Nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Arctic sea ice mediates atmosphere-ocean momentum transfer, which drives upper ocean
circulation. How Arctic Ocean surface stress and velocity respond to sea ice decline and …

Atmospheric circulation-constrained model sensitivity recalibrates Arctic climate projections

D Topál, Q Ding - Nature Climate Change, 2023 - nature.com
The Arctic has been suggested to see seasonally ice-free conditions within two-to-three
decades under high-emissions scenarios. However, the time of emergence of the first ice …

[HTML][HTML] Forced and internal components of observed Arctic sea-ice changes

JS Dörr, DB Bonan, M Årthun, L Svendsen… - The …, 2023 - tc.copernicus.org
The Arctic sea-ice cover is strongly influenced by internal variability on decadal timescales,
affecting both short-term trends and the timing of the first ice-free summer. Several …

New potential to reduce uncertainty in regional climate projections by combining physical and socio‐economic constraints

F Lehner, E Hawkins, R Sutton… - AGU …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
New Potential to Reduce Uncertainty in Regional Climate Projections by Combining Physical
and Socio‐Economic Constraints - Lehner - 2023 - AGU Advances - Wiley Online Library Skip …

A frequent ice-free Arctic is likely to occur before the mid-21st century

Z Shen, W Zhou, J Li, JCL Chan - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2023 - nature.com
Although the trend of sea-ice extent under global warming has been studied extensively in
recent years, most climate models have failed to capture the recent rapid change in the …

Impact of ocean heat transport on sea ice captured by a simple energy balance model

JR Aylmer, D Ferreira, DL Feltham - Communications Earth & …, 2024 - nature.com
Future projections of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice suffer from uncertainties largely associated
with inter-model spread. Ocean heat transport has been hypothesised as a source of this …

Climate models underestimate the sensitivity of Arctic sea ice to carbon emissions

FX Diebold, GD Rudebusch - Energy Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
Arctic sea ice has steadily diminished as atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations have
increased. Using observed data from 1979 to 2019, we estimate a close contemporaneous …

Modeling the mercury cycle in the sea ice environment: a buffer between the polar atmosphere and ocean

S Huang, F Wang, T Yuan, Z Song, P Wu… - … Science & Technology, 2023 - ACS Publications
Sea ice (including overlying snow) is a dynamic interface between the atmosphere and the
ocean, influencing the mercury (Hg) cycling in polar oceans. However, a large-scale and …