Projections of an ice-free Arctic Ocean
Observed Arctic sea ice losses are a sentinel of anthropogenic climate change. These
reductions are projected to continue with ongoing warming, ultimately leading to an ice-free …
reductions are projected to continue with ongoing warming, ultimately leading to an ice-free …
Future sea ice weakening amplifies wind-driven trends in surface stress and Arctic Ocean spin-up
Arctic sea ice mediates atmosphere-ocean momentum transfer, which drives upper ocean
circulation. How Arctic Ocean surface stress and velocity respond to sea ice decline and …
circulation. How Arctic Ocean surface stress and velocity respond to sea ice decline and …
Atmospheric circulation-constrained model sensitivity recalibrates Arctic climate projections
The Arctic has been suggested to see seasonally ice-free conditions within two-to-three
decades under high-emissions scenarios. However, the time of emergence of the first ice …
decades under high-emissions scenarios. However, the time of emergence of the first ice …
[HTML][HTML] Forced and internal components of observed Arctic sea-ice changes
The Arctic sea-ice cover is strongly influenced by internal variability on decadal timescales,
affecting both short-term trends and the timing of the first ice-free summer. Several …
affecting both short-term trends and the timing of the first ice-free summer. Several …
New potential to reduce uncertainty in regional climate projections by combining physical and socio‐economic constraints
New Potential to Reduce Uncertainty in Regional Climate Projections by Combining Physical
and Socio‐Economic Constraints - Lehner - 2023 - AGU Advances - Wiley Online Library Skip …
and Socio‐Economic Constraints - Lehner - 2023 - AGU Advances - Wiley Online Library Skip …
A frequent ice-free Arctic is likely to occur before the mid-21st century
Although the trend of sea-ice extent under global warming has been studied extensively in
recent years, most climate models have failed to capture the recent rapid change in the …
recent years, most climate models have failed to capture the recent rapid change in the …
Impact of ocean heat transport on sea ice captured by a simple energy balance model
JR Aylmer, D Ferreira, DL Feltham - Communications Earth & …, 2024 - nature.com
Future projections of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice suffer from uncertainties largely associated
with inter-model spread. Ocean heat transport has been hypothesised as a source of this …
with inter-model spread. Ocean heat transport has been hypothesised as a source of this …
Climate models underestimate the sensitivity of Arctic sea ice to carbon emissions
Arctic sea ice has steadily diminished as atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations have
increased. Using observed data from 1979 to 2019, we estimate a close contemporaneous …
increased. Using observed data from 1979 to 2019, we estimate a close contemporaneous …
Modeling the mercury cycle in the sea ice environment: a buffer between the polar atmosphere and ocean
S Huang, F Wang, T Yuan, Z Song, P Wu… - … Science & Technology, 2023 - ACS Publications
Sea ice (including overlying snow) is a dynamic interface between the atmosphere and the
ocean, influencing the mercury (Hg) cycling in polar oceans. However, a large-scale and …
ocean, influencing the mercury (Hg) cycling in polar oceans. However, a large-scale and …