Predictions of solar cycle 24: How are we doing?

WD Pesnell - Space Weather, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Predictions of solar activity are an essential part of our Space Weather forecast capability.
Users are requiring usable predictions of an upcoming solar cycle to be delivered several …

Sunspot-cycle evolution of major periodicities of solar activity

GL Jayalekshmi, TK Pant, PR Prince - Solar Physics, 2022 - Springer
Solar activity is generally periodic in nature, having a main periodicity of≈ 11 years, known
as the solar cycle. Sunspots are one of the visible indicators of this cycle, and its different …

Prediction of solar cycle 24 using sunspot number near the cycle minimum

MI Pishkalo - Solar Physics, 2014 - Springer
Correlations between monthly smoothed sunspot numbers at the solar-cycle maximum [R
max] and duration of the ascending phase of the cycle [T rise], on the one hand, and sunspot …

An empirical model of heliospheric cosmic ray modulation on long-term time scale

E Asvestari, IG Usoskin - Journal of Space Weather and Space …, 2016 - swsc-journal.org
Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs) entering the heliosphere are subject to modulation processes
due to variable solar magnetic activity. Finding a relationship between cosmic-ray variations …

A model of sunspot number with a modified logistic function

G Qin, SS Wu - The Astrophysical Journal, 2018 - iopscience.iop.org
Solar cycles are studied with the Version 2 monthly smoothed international sunspot number,
the variations of which are found to be well represented by a modified logistic differential …

One possible reason for double-peaked maxima in solar cycles: is a second maximum of solar cycle 24 expected?

A Kilcik, A Ozguc - Solar Physics, 2014 - Springer
We investigate solar activity by focusing on double maxima in solar cycles and try to
estimate the shape of the current solar cycle (Cycle 24) during its maximum. We analyzed …

An improved prediction of sunspot maximum by Vondrak smoothing method

ZQ Yin, YB Han - Astronomische Nachrichten, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Studies of solar activity characteristics and prediction are gaining more attention. Using the
13‐month smoothed value of monthly sunspot numbers, we studied correlations between …

Prediction of the Amplitude and Main Characteristics of Solar Cycle 25

DB Berdichevsky - Advances in Aerospace Science and Technology, 2024 - scirp.org
In this note, we estimate the maximum amplitude for the Solar Cycle 25. We use the
curvature technique presented for earlier cycles by Verdes and coworkers. We further …

Predicting the Size and Timing of the Next Solar Cycle: Paper I, based on Sunspot Number

R Wilson - The Journal of the Alabama Academy of Science, 2019 - aasjournal.org
This paper (Paper 1) provides estimates of the period (PER) for sunspot cycle (SC) 24, the
current ongoing solar cycle, and the timing and size of the next solar cycle, SC25. Presently …

[PDF][PDF] A comparison between the observed and predicted amplitude of the 24th solar cycle

R Brajša, G Verbanac, D Sudar, I Skokić… - Central European …, 2015 - 161.53.22.65
In present work we compared the measured and predicted amplitudes of the 24th solar
cycle. The modified minimum–maximum method, belonging to the precursor class of …