Consequences of twenty-first-century policy for multi-millennial climate and sea-level change

PU Clark, JD Shakun, SA Marcott, AC Mix, M Eby… - Nature climate …, 2016 - nature.com
Most of the policy debate surrounding the actions needed to mitigate and adapt to
anthropogenic climate change has been framed by observations of the past 150 years as …

Future climate forcing potentially without precedent in the last 420 million years

GL Foster, DL Royer, DJ Lunt - Nature communications, 2017 - nature.com
The evolution of Earth's climate on geological timescales is largely driven by variations in
the magnitude of total solar irradiance (TSI) and changes in the greenhouse gas content of …

Where does the carbon go? A model–data intercomparison of vegetation carbon allocation and turnover processes at two temperate forest free‐air CO2 enrichment …

MG De Kauwe, BE Medlyn, S Zaehle… - New …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration (eCO 2) has the potential to increase vegetation
carbon storage if increased net primary production causes increased long‐lived biomass …

Lifetime of Anthropogenic Climate Change: Millennial Time Scales of Potential CO 2 and Surface Temperature Perturbations

M Eby, K Zickfeld, A Montenegro, D Archer… - Journal of …, 2009 - journals.ametsoc.org
Multimillennial simulations with a fully coupled climate–carbon cycle model are examined to
assess the persistence of the climatic impacts of anthropogenic CO 2 emissions. It is found …

[CARTE][B] Spatial planning and climate change

E Wilson, J Piper - 2010 - taylorfrancis.com
Spatial planning has a vital role to play in the move to a low carbon energy future and in
adapting to climate change. To do this, spatial planning must develop and implement new …

Future changes in climate, ocean circulation, ecosystems, and biogeochemical cycling simulated for a business‐as‐usual CO2 emission scenario until year 4000 AD

A Schmittner, A Oschlies, HD Matthews… - Global …, 2008 - Wiley Online Library
A new model of global climate, ocean circulation, ecosystems, and biogeochemical cycling,
including a fully coupled carbon cycle, is presented and evaluated. The model is consistent …

Why worry about climate change? A research agenda

RSJ Tol - Environmental values, 2008 - journals.sagepub.com
Estimates of the marginal damage costs of carbon dioxide emissions suggest that, although
climate change is a problem and some emission reduction is justified, very stringent …

Marine geochemical data assimilation in an efficient Earth System Model of global biogeochemical cycling

A Ridgwell, JC Hargreaves, NR Edwards… - …, 2007 - bg.copernicus.org
We have extended the 3-D ocean based" Grid ENabled Integrated Earth system
model"(GENIE-1) to help understand the role of ocean biogeochemistry and marine …

Long-term climate commitments projected with climate–carbon cycle models

GK Plattner, R Knutti, F Joos, TF Stocker… - Journal of …, 2008 - journals.ametsoc.org
Eight earth system models of intermediate complexity (EMICs) are used to project climate
change commitments for the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC's) …

A modified method for detecting incipient bifurcations in a dynamical system

VN Livina, TM Lenton - Geophysical research letters, 2007 - Wiley Online Library
We assess the proximity of a system to a bifurcation point using a degenerate fingerprinting
method that estimates the declining decay rate of fluctuations in a time series as an indicator …