How many species will Earth lose to climate change?

JJ Wiens, J Zelinka - Global Change Biology, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Climate change may be an important threat to global biodiversity, potentially leading to the
extinction of numerous species. But how many? There have been various attempts to …

A checklist for maximizing reproducibility of ecological niche models

X Feng, DS Park, C Walker, AT Peterson… - Nature Ecology & …, 2019 - nature.com
Reporting specific modelling methods and metadata is essential to the reproducibility of
ecological studies, yet guidelines rarely exist regarding what information should be noted …

Development and delivery of species distribution models to inform decision-making

HR Sofaer, CS Jarnevich, IS Pearse, RL Smyth… - …, 2019 - academic.oup.com
Abstract Information on where species occur is an important component of conservation and
management decisions, but knowledge of distributions is often coarse or incomplete …

The area under the precision‐recall curve as a performance metric for rare binary events

HR Sofaer, JA Hoeting… - Methods in Ecology and …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models are used to study biogeographic patterns and guide decision‐
making. The variable quality of these models makes it critical to assess whether a model's …

Assessing the reliability of species distribution projections in climate change research

L Santini, A Benítez‐López, L Maiorano… - Diversity and …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Forecasting changes in species distribution under future scenarios is one of the most
prolific areas of application for species distribution models (SDMs). However, no consensus …

Local colonisations and extinctions of European birds are poorly explained by changes in climate suitability

C Howard, EL Marjakangas, A Morán-Ordóñez… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Climate change has been associated with both latitudinal and elevational shifts in species'
ranges. The extent, however, to which climate change has driven recent range shifts …

A framework to integrate innovations in invasion science for proactive management

CB van Rees, BK Hand, SC Carter… - Biological …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Invasive alien species (IAS) are a rising threat to biodiversity, national security, and regional
economies, with impacts in the hundreds of billions of US dollars annually. Proactive or …

Tackling unresolved questions in forest ecology: The past and future role of simulation models

I Maréchaux, F Langerwisch, A Huth… - Ecology and …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Understanding the processes that shape forest functioning, structure, and diversity remains
challenging, although data on forest systems are being collected at a rapid pace and across …

Species distributions models may predict accurately future distributions but poorly how distributions change: A critical perspective on model validation

S Piirainen, A Lehikoinen, M Husby… - Diversity and …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Aim Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used to make predictions on
how species distributions may change as a response to climatic change. To assess the …

Can habitat suitability estimated from MaxEnt predict colonizations and extinctions?

S Venne, DJ Currie - Diversity and Distributions, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Aim MaxEnt has been widely used to model species' geographic distributions as functions of
environmental variables and to predict changes in distributions in response to …