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Small failure probability: principles, progress and perspectives
Abstract Design of structural and multidisciplinary systems under uncertainties requires
estimation of their reliability or equivalently the probability of failure under the given …
estimation of their reliability or equivalently the probability of failure under the given …
Computation of extreme heat waves in climate models using a large deviation algorithm
Studying extreme events and how they evolve in a changing climate is one of the most
important current scientific challenges. Starting from complex climate models, a key difficulty …
important current scientific challenges. Starting from complex climate models, a key difficulty …
Efficient black-box assessment of autonomous vehicle safety
While autonomous vehicle (AV) technology has shown substantial progress, we still lack
tools for rigorous and scalable testing. Real-world testing, the $\textit {de-facto} $ evaluation …
tools for rigorous and scalable testing. Real-world testing, the $\textit {de-facto} $ evaluation …
A statistical approach to assessing neural network robustness
We present a new approach to assessing the robustness of neural networks based on
estimating the proportion of inputs for which a property is violated. Specifically, we estimate …
estimating the proportion of inputs for which a property is violated. Specifically, we estimate …
Neural bridge sampling for evaluating safety-critical autonomous systems
Learning-based methodologies increasingly find applications in safety-critical domains like
autonomous driving and medical robotics. Due to the rare nature of dangerous events, real …
autonomous driving and medical robotics. Due to the rare nature of dangerous events, real …
Adaptive multilevel splitting method for molecular dynamics calculation of benzamidine-trypsin dissociation time
Adaptive multilevel splitting (AMS) is a rare event sampling method that requires minimal
parameter tuning and allows unbiased sampling of transition pathways of a given rare event …
parameter tuning and allows unbiased sampling of transition pathways of a given rare event …
Rare event algorithm links transitions in turbulent flows with activated nucleations
Many turbulent flows undergo drastic and abrupt configuration changes with huge impacts.
As a paradigmatic example we study the multistability of jet dynamics in a barotropic beta …
As a paradigmatic example we study the multistability of jet dynamics in a barotropic beta …
Computing return times or return periods with rare event algorithms
The average time between two occurrences of the same event, referred to as its return time
(or return period), is a useful statistical concept for practical applications. For instance …
(or return period), is a useful statistical concept for practical applications. For instance …
Unbiasedness of some generalized adaptive multilevel splitting algorithms
We introduce a generalization of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm in the discrete
time dynamic setting, namely when it is applied to sample rare events associated with paths …
time dynamic setting, namely when it is applied to sample rare events associated with paths …
Coupling rare event algorithms with data-based learned committor functions using the analogue Markov chain
Rare events play a crucial role in many physics, chemistry, and biology phenomena, when
they change the structure of the system, for instance in the case of multistability, or when …
they change the structure of the system, for instance in the case of multistability, or when …