Continuing increases in life expectancy beyond previously-held limits have brought to the
fore the critical importance of mortality forecasting. Significant developments in mortality …

Approaches and developments in demographic and population forecasting since 1980 are
reviewed. Three approaches to forecasting demographic processes are extrapolation …

Background Global and regional projections of mortality and burden of disease by cause for
the years 2000, 2010, and 2030 were published by Murray and Lopez in 1996 as part of the …

The idea for this book came from the time the authors spent at the Statistics and Applied
Mathematical Sciences Institute (SAMSI) in Research Triangle Park in North Carolina …

This paper implements Wilmoth's [Computational methods for fitting and extrapolating the
Lee–Carter model of mortality change, Technical report, Department of Demography …

The Lee–Carter modelling framework is extended through the introduction of a wider class
of generalised, parametric, non-linear models. This permits the modelling and extrapolation …

Lee and Carter (LC) published a new statistical method for forecasting mortality in 1992.
This paper examines its actual and hypothetical forecast errors, and compares them with …

In recent years, a large variety of textbooks dealing with time-to-event analysis has been
published. Most of these books focus on the statistical analysis of observations in continuous …

The Lee-Carter method of mortality forecasting assumes an invariant age component and
most applications have adopted a linear time component. The use of the method with …

We investigate the feasibility of constructing mortality forecasts on the basis of the first two
sets of single value decomposition vectors, rather than just on the first such set of vectors, as …