Macroprudential policies, economic growth and banking crises

M Belkhir, SB Naceur, B Candelon… - Emerging Markets …, 2022 - Elsevier
Using a sample covering emerging market and advanced economies, we assess the impact
of macroprudential policies on financial stability. Our empirical setup is designed to account …

Evaluating the impact of unconventional monetary policy measures: Empirical evidence from the ECB׳ s Securities Markets Programme

F Eser, B Schwaab - Journal of Financial Economics, 2016 - Elsevier
We assess the yield impact of asset purchases within the European Central Bank׳ s (ECB)
Securities Markets Programme (SMP) in five euro area sovereign bond markets from 2010 …

Information-theoretic optimality of observation-driven time series models for continuous responses

F Blasques, SJ Koopman, A Lucas - Biometrika, 2015 - academic.oup.com
We investigate information-theoretic optimality properties of the score function of the
predictive likelihood as a device for updating a real-valued time-varying parameter in a …

Spillover dynamics for systemic risk measurement using spatial financial time series models

F Blasques, SJ Koopman, A Lucas… - Journal of …, 2016 - Elsevier
We extend the well-known static spatial Durbin model by introducing a time-varying spatial
dependence parameter. The updating steps for this model are functions of past data and …

Predicting time-varying parameters with parameter-driven and observation-driven models

SJ Koopman, A Lucas, M Scharth - Review of Economics and …, 2016 - direct.mit.edu
We verify whether parameter-driven and observation-driven classes of dynamic models can
outperform each other in predicting time-varying parameters. We consider existing and new …

Reduced-form models of correlated default timing: a systematic literature review

H Nguyen, X Zhou - Journal of Accounting Literature, 2023 - emerald.com
Purpose This paper aims to provide an overview, a classification of existing research groups
for correlated default models using a reduced-form method and an identification of future …

Network analysis of risk transmission among energy futures: An industrial chain perspective

R Ouyang, C Zhuang, T Wang, X Zhang - Energy Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
The fluctuation of energy prices has a great impact on the economy, making it essential to
analyze the risk transmission among energy commodities. In this paper, we use the …

Time‐varying transition probabilities for Markov regime switching models

M Bazzi, F Blasques, SJ Koopman… - Journal of Time Series …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
We propose a new Markov switching model with time‐varying transitions probabilities. The
novelty of our model is that the transition probabilities evolve over time by means of an …

New HEAVY models for fat-tailed realized covariances and returns

A Opschoor, P Janus, A Lucas… - Journal of Business & …, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
We develop a new score-driven model for the joint dynamics of fat-tailed realized covariance
matrix observations and daily returns. The score dynamics for the unobserved true …

Assessing asset purchases within the ECB's securities markets programme

F Eser, B Schwaab - 2013 - papers.ssrn.com
We assess the yield impact of asset purchases within the ECB's Securities Markets
Programme in five euro area sovereign bond markets during 2010-11. Identification is non …