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Model uncertainty in climate change economics: A review and proposed framework for future research
We review recent models of choices under uncertainty that have been proposed in the
economic literature. In particular, we show how different concepts and methods of economic …
economic literature. In particular, we show how different concepts and methods of economic …
Human-AI ensembles: when can they work?
V Choudhary, A Marchetti, YR Shrestha… - Journal of …, 2025 - journals.sagepub.com
An “ensemble” approach to decision-making involves aggregating the results from different
decision makers solving the same problem (ie, a division of labor without specialization). We …
decision makers solving the same problem (ie, a division of labor without specialization). We …
Vicarious learning without knowledge differentials
The benefits of vicarious learning are usually conceptualized in terms of a mechanism for
learners to utilize the superior knowledge of others. Building on the fact that vicarious …
learners to utilize the superior knowledge of others. Building on the fact that vicarious …
Selective-Memory Equilibrium
D Fudenberg, G Lanzani… - Journal of Political …, 2024 - journals.uchicago.edu
We study agents who are more likely to remember some experiences than others but update
beliefs as if the experiences they remember are the only ones that occurred. To understand …
beliefs as if the experiences they remember are the only ones that occurred. To understand …
Dynamic concern for misspecification
G Lanzani - Available at SSRN 4454504, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
We consider an agent who posits a set of probabilistic models for the payoff-relevant
outcomes. The agent has a prior over this set but fears the actual model is omitted and …
outcomes. The agent has a prior over this set but fears the actual model is omitted and …
Self‐Confirming Biased Beliefs in Organizational “Learning by Doing”
Learning by doing, a change in beliefs (and consequently behaviour) due to experience, is
crucial to the adaptive behaviours of organizations as well as the individuals that inhabit …
crucial to the adaptive behaviours of organizations as well as the individuals that inhabit …
Robust misspecified models and paradigm shifts
C Ba - arxiv preprint arxiv:2106.12727, 2021 - arxiv.org
Individuals use models to guide decisions, but many models are wrong. This paper studies
which misspecified models are likely to persist when individuals also entertain alternative …
which misspecified models are likely to persist when individuals also entertain alternative …
Sequential learning under informational ambiguity
JY Chen - Available at SSRN 3480231, 2019 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper studies a sequential social learning problem in which individuals face ambiguity
regarding other people's signal structures. It finds that ambiguity has a significant influence …
regarding other people's signal structures. It finds that ambiguity has a significant influence …
Ambiguity attitudes and self-confirming equilibrium in sequential games
We consider a game in extensive form recurrently played by agents who are randomly
drawn from large populations and matched. We assume that preferences over actions at any …
drawn from large populations and matched. We assume that preferences over actions at any …
Justified communication equilibrium
D Clark, D Fudenberg - American Economic Review, 2021 - aeaweb.org
Justified communication equilibrium (JCE) is an equilibrium refinement for signaling games
with cheap-talk communication. A strategy profile must be a JCE to be a stable outcome of …
with cheap-talk communication. A strategy profile must be a JCE to be a stable outcome of …