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Tip** elements and climate–economic shocks: Pathways toward integrated assessment
The literature on the costs of climate change often draws a link between climatic “tip**
points” and large economic shocks, frequently called “catastrophes.” The phrase “tip** …
points” and large economic shocks, frequently called “catastrophes.” The phrase “tip** …
Structuring and evaluating decision support processes to enhance the robustness of complex human–natural systems
Decision-making in the context of complex human–natural systems requires a transition
towards robust model-based inferences which are effective despite uncertainties of human …
towards robust model-based inferences which are effective despite uncertainties of human …
[PDF][PDF] Decision-making options for managing risk
Addressing the impacts and risks associated with observed and projected climate change
(Chapter 16) is fundamentally and intricately tied to the decision-making options available to …
(Chapter 16) is fundamentally and intricately tied to the decision-making options available to …
[HTML][HTML] The Exploratory Modeling Workbench: An open source toolkit for exploratory modeling, scenario discovery, and (multi-objective) robust decision making
There is a growing interest in model-based decision support under deep uncertainty,
reflected in a variety of approaches being put forward in the literature. A key idea shared …
reflected in a variety of approaches being put forward in the literature. A key idea shared …
Exploratory modeling for analyzing coupled human-natural systems under uncertainty
Modeling is a crucial approach for understanding the past and exploring the future of
coupled human-natural systems. However, uncertainty in various forms challenges …
coupled human-natural systems. However, uncertainty in various forms challenges …
NPCC4: New York City climate risk information 2022—observations and projections
C Braneon, L Ortiz, D Bader, N Devineni, P Orton… - 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract New York City (NYC) faces many challenges in the coming decades due to climate
change and its interactions with social vulnerabilities and uneven urban development …
change and its interactions with social vulnerabilities and uneven urban development …
[PDF][PDF] Risk management and decision-making in relation to sustainable development
M Hurlbert, J Krishnaswamy, E Davin, FX Johnson… - 2019 - researcharchive.lincoln.ac.nz
Increases in global mean surface temperature are projected to result in continued
permafrost degradation and coastal degradation (high confidence), increased wildfire …
permafrost degradation and coastal degradation (high confidence), increased wildfire …
Co** with the wickedness of public policy problems: Approaches for decision making under deep uncertainty
In many planning problems, planners face major challenges in co** with uncertain and
changing physical conditions, and rapid unpredictable socioeconomic development. How …
changing physical conditions, and rapid unpredictable socioeconomic development. How …
[HTML][HTML] An open source framework for many-objective robust decision making
This study introduces a new open source software framework to support bottom-up
environmental systems planning under deep uncertainty with a focus on many-objective …
environmental systems planning under deep uncertainty with a focus on many-objective …
Scenario-based policy representative exploration: a novel approach to analyzing policy portfolios and its application to low-carbon energy diffusion
The growing complexity of real-world systems entails using policy portfolios rather than a
single policy instrument to achieve multiple policy goals regarding sustainability. Crucial …
single policy instrument to achieve multiple policy goals regarding sustainability. Crucial …