Mechanisms and impacts of Earth system tip** elements

S Wang, A Foster, EA Lenz, JD Kessler… - Reviews of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Tip** elements are components of the Earth system which may respond nonlinearly to
anthropogenic climate change by transitioning toward substantially different long‐term …

Exceeding 1.5 C global warming could trigger multiple climate tip** points

DI Armstrong McKay, A Staal, JF Abrams… - Science, 2022 - science.org
Climate tip** points occur when change in a part of the climate system becomes self-
perpetuating beyond a warming threshold, leading to substantial Earth system impacts …

Arctic freshwater impact on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: status and prospects

TWN Haine, AH Siddiqui… - … Transactions of the …, 2023 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Arguably, the most conspicuous evidence for anthropogenic climate change lies in the Arctic
Ocean. For example, the summer-time Arctic sea ice extent has declined over the last 40 …

Florida Current transport observations reveal four decades of steady state

DL Volkov, RH Smith, RF Garcia, DA Smeed… - Nature …, 2024 - nature.com
The potential weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in
response to anthropogenic forcing, suggested by climate models, is at the forefront of …

Early warning signal for a tip** point suggested by a millennial Atlantic Multidecadal Variability reconstruction

SLL Michel, D Swingedouw, P Ortega… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
Atlantic multidecadal variability is a coherent mode of natural climate variability occurring in
the North Atlantic Ocean, with strong impacts on human societies and ecosystems …

A new view on abrupt climate changes and the bipolar seesaw based on paleotemperatures from Iberian Margin sediments

N Davtian, E Bard - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2023 - pnas.org
The last glacial cycle provides the opportunity to investigate large changes in the Atlantic
Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) beyond the small fluctuations evidenced from …

[HTML][HTML] Stochastic bifurcation of the North Atlantic circulation under a midrange future climate scenario with the NASA-GISS ModelE

A Romanou, D Rind, J Jonas, R Miller… - Journal of …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Stochastic Bifurcation of the North Atlantic Circulation under a Midrange Future Climate
Scenario with the NASA-GISS ModelE in: Journal of Climate Volume 36 Issue 18 (2023) Jump …

Wide range of possible trajectories of North Atlantic climate in a warming world

Q Gu, M Gervais, G Danabasoglu, WM Kim… - Nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Decadal variability in the North Atlantic Ocean impacts regional and global climate, yet
changes in internal decadal variability under anthropogenic radiative forcing remain largely …

Uncertainties in critical slowing down indicators of observation-based fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Circulation

M Ben-Yami, V Skiba, S Bathiany, N Boers - Nature Communications, 2023 - nature.com
Observations are increasingly used to detect critical slowing down (CSD) to measure
stability changes in key Earth system components. However, most datasets have non …

Robust weakening of the Gulf Stream during the past four decades observed in the Florida Straits

CG Piecuch, LM Beal - Geophysical research letters, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Gulf Stream is a vital limb of the North Atlantic circulation that influences
regional climate, sea level, and hurricane activity. Given the Gulf Stream's relevance to …