Mathematical modeling of infectious disease dynamics

CI Siettos, L Russo - Virulence, 2013 - Taylor & Francis
Over the last years, an intensive worldwide effort is speeding up the developments in the
establishment of a global surveillance network for combating pandemics of emergent and re …

Mathematical models of malaria-a review

S Mandal, RR Sarkar, S Sinha - Malaria journal, 2011 - Springer
Mathematical models have been used to provide an explicit framework for understanding
malaria transmission dynamics in human population for over 100 years. With the disease …

Estimation of COVID-19 prevalence in Italy, Spain, and France

Z Ceylan - Science of The Total Environment, 2020 - Elsevier
At the end of December 2019, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) appeared in Wuhan
city, China. As of April 15, 2020,> 1.9 million COVID-19 cases were confirmed worldwide …

Temperature decreases spread parameters of the new Covid-19 case dynamics

J Demongeot, Y Flet-Berliac, H Seligmann - Biology, 2020 - mdpi.com
(1) Background: The virulence of coronavirus diseases due to viruses like SARS-CoV or
MERS-CoV decreases in humid and hot weather. The putative temperature dependence of …

[HTML][HTML] Modeling and forecasting of COVID-19 using a hybrid dynamic model based on SEIRD with ARIMA corrections

M Ala'raj, M Majdalawieh, N Nizamuddin - Infectious Disease Modelling, 2021 - Elsevier
The outbreak of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) attracted worldwide attention. It has posed a
significant challenge for the global economies, especially the healthcare sector. Even with a …

Forecasting fully vaccinated people against COVID-19 and examining future vaccination rate for herd immunity in the US, Asia, Europe, Africa, South America, and the …

P Cihan - Applied soft computing, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-2019) has spread rapidly all over the world and
it is known that the most effective way to eliminate the disease is vaccination. Although the …

[HTML][HTML] Epidemiology and ARIMA model of positive-rate of influenza viruses among children in Wuhan, China: A nine-year retrospective study

Z He, H Tao - International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2018 - Elsevier
Objective Influenza is a common childhood disease and protecting children by predicting the
positive rate of influenza virus is important as vaccines are not routinely administered in …

Forecasting incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in China using ARIMA model

Q Liu, X Liu, B Jiang, W Yang - BMC infectious diseases, 2011 - Springer
Background China is a country that is most seriously affected by hemorrhagic fever with
renal syndrome (HFRS) with 90% of HFRS cases reported globally. At present, HFRS is …

An application of ARIMA model to forecast the dynamics of COVID-19 epidemic in India

R Katoch, A Sidhu - Global Business Review, 2021 - journals.sagepub.com
The swiftly growing and overwhelming epidemic in India has intensified the question: What
will the trend and magnitude of impact of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) be …

Modeling and forecasting of COVID-19 growth curve in India

VK Sharma, U Nigam - Transactions of the Indian National Academy of …, 2020 - Springer
In this article, we analyze the growth pattern of COVID-19 pandemic in India from March 4 to
July 11 using regression analysis (exponential and polynomial), auto-regressive integrated …