Develo**, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions
L Mizrahi, I Dallo, NJ van der Elst… - Reviews of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …
Seismicity-based earthquake forecasting techniques: Ten years of progress
KF Tiampo, R Shcherbakov - Tectonophysics, 2012 - Elsevier
Earthquake fault systems interact over a broad spectrum of spatial and temporal scales and,
in recent years, studies of the regional seismicity in a variety of regions have produced a …
in recent years, studies of the regional seismicity in a variety of regions have produced a …
Analyzing earthquake clustering features by using stochastic reconstruction
On the basis of the epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model and the thinning
procedure, this paper gives the method about how to classify the earthquakes in a given …
procedure, this paper gives the method about how to classify the earthquakes in a given …
Space–time ETAS models and an improved extension
For sensitive detection of anomalous seismicity such as quiescence and activation in a
given region, we need a suitable statistical reference model that represents a normal …
given region, we need a suitable statistical reference model that represents a normal …
Comparison of short-term and time-independent earthquake forecast models for southern California
A Helmstetter, YY Kagan… - Bulletin of the …, 2006 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We have initially developed a time-independent forecast for southern California by
smoothing the locations of magnitude 2 and larger earthquakes. We show that using small …
smoothing the locations of magnitude 2 and larger earthquakes. We show that using small …
A common origin for aftershocks, foreshocks, and multiplets
KR Felzer, RE Abercrombie… - Bulletin of the …, 2004 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We demonstrate that the statistics of earthquake data in the global Centroid Moment Tensor
(CMT) and National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC) catalogs and local California …
(CMT) and National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC) catalogs and local California …
Importance of small earthquakes for stress transfers and earthquake triggering
A Helmstetter, YY Kagan… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
We estimate the relative importance of small and large earthquakes for static stress changes
and for earthquake triggering, assuming that earthquakes are triggered by static stress …
and for earthquake triggering, assuming that earthquakes are triggered by static stress …
Next-day earthquake forecasts for the Japan region generated by the ETAS model
J Zhuang - Earth, planets and space, 2011 - Springer
This paper gives the technical solutions of implementing the space-time epidemic-type
aftershock sequence (ETAS) model for short-term (1-day) earthquake forecasts for the all …
aftershock sequence (ETAS) model for short-term (1-day) earthquake forecasts for the all …
Coseismic deformation of the destructive April 6, 2009 L'Aquila earthquake (central Italy) from GPS data
M Anzidei, E Boschi, V Cannelli… - Geophysical …, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
On April 6, 2009, 01: 32: 39 GMT, the city of L'Aquila was struck by a Mw 6.3 earthquake that
killed 307 people, causing severe destruction and ground cracks in a wide area around the …
killed 307 people, causing severe destruction and ground cracks in a wide area around the …
Earthquake productivity law
PN Shebalin, C Narteau… - Geophysical Journal …, 2020 - academic.oup.com
Mechanisms of stress transfer and probabilistic models have been widely investigated to
explain earthquake clustering features. However, these approaches are still far from being …
explain earthquake clustering features. However, these approaches are still far from being …