Statistical physics approach to understanding the multiscale dynamics of earthquake fault systems

JB Rundle, DL Turcotte, R Shcherbakov… - Reviews of …, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
Earthquakes and the faults upon which they occur interact over a wide range of spatial and
temporal scales. In addition, many aspects of regional seismicity appear to be stochastic …

Statistical models of fracture

MJ Alava, PKVV Nukala, S Zapperi - Advances in Physics, 2006 - Taylor & Francis
Disorder and long-range interactions are two of the key components that make material
failure an interesting playfield for the application of statistical mechanics. The cornerstone in …

Micro and macroscopic models of rock fracture

DL Turcotte, WI Newman… - Geophysical Journal …, 2003 - academic.oup.com
The anelastic deformation of solids is often treated using continuum damage mechanics. An
alternative approach to the brittle failure of a solid is provided by the discrete fibre-bundle …

Aftershock statistics

R Shcherbakov, DL Turcotte, JB Rundle - Statistical Seismology, 2005 - Springer
The statistical properties of aftershock sequences are associated with three empirical
scaling relations:(1) Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude scaling,(2) Båth's law for the …

Precursory seismic activation and critical-point phenomena

JB Rundle, W Klein, DL Turcotte… - … predictive modelling of the …, 2001 - Springer
In this paper we relate the behavior of seismicity prior to a characteristic earthquake to the
excitation in proximity to a spinodal instability. We illustrate the spinodal instability as the …

Aftershocks and pore fluid diffusion following the 1992 Landers earthquake

WJ Bosl, A Nur - Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 2002 - Wiley Online Library
We model the evolution of regional stress following the 1992 Landers earthquake in order to
test the importance of pore fluid flow in producing aftershocks. Rising fluid pressure due to …

Rockburst early warning based on microseism and critical point theory

G Chen, X Liu, D Song, E Wang, R Zhang - Measurement, 2024 - Elsevier
During the tunnel construction, rockbursts occurred, posing a risk to safety. To mitigate this
risk, a microseismic monitoring system was installed in the tunnel to provide early warning of …

Large earthquake cycles and intermittent criticality on heterogeneous faults due to evolving stress and seismicity

Y Ben‐Zion, M Eneva, Y Liu - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
We analyze evolving stress and seismicity generated by three realizations of a discrete
model of a strike‐slip fault in a three‐dimensional (3‐D) elastic half space using five …

Spectral‐element simulations of long‐term fault slip: Effect of low‐rigidity layers on earthquake‐cycle dynamics

Y Kaneko, JP Ampuero… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
We develop a spectral element method for the simulation of long‐term histories of
spontaneous seismic and aseismic slip on faults subjected to tectonic loading. Our approach …

Pattern dynamics and forecast methods in seismically active regions

KF Tiampo, JB Rundle, SA McGinnis… - … , Numerical Simulation and …, 2002 - Springer
Large, extended fault systems such as those in California demonstrate complex space-time
seismicity patterns, which include repetitive events, precursory activity and quiescence, and …