Bayesian statistics and modelling

R van de Schoot, S Depaoli, R King, B Kramer… - Nature Reviews …, 2021 - nature.com
Bayesian statistics is an approach to data analysis based on Bayes' theorem, where
available knowledge about parameters in a statistical model is updated with the information …

Modelling of species distributions, range dynamics and communities under imperfect detection: advances, challenges and opportunities

G Guillera‐Arroita - Ecography, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Building useful models of species distributions requires attention to several important issues,
one being imperfect detection of species. Data sets of species detections are likely to suffer …

The recovery of European freshwater biodiversity has come to a halt

P Haase, DE Bowler, NJ Baker, N Bonada, S Domisch… - Nature, 2023 - nature.com
Owing to a long history of anthropogenic pressures, freshwater ecosystems are among the
most vulnerable to biodiversity loss. Mitigation measures, including wastewater treatment …

Recent and future declines of a historically widespread pollinator linked to climate, land cover, and pesticides

WM Janousek, MR Douglas… - Proceedings of the …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
The acute decline in global biodiversity includes not only the loss of rare species, but also
the rapid collapse of common species across many different taxa. The loss of pollinating …

Fewer butterflies seen by community scientists across the warming and drying landscapes of the American West

ML Forister, CA Halsch, CC Nice, JA Fordyce, TE Dilts… - Science, 2021 - science.org
Uncertainty remains regarding the role of anthropogenic climate change in declining insect
populations, partly because our understanding of biotic response to climate is often …

Programming with models: writing statistical algorithms for general model structures with NIMBLE

P de Valpine, D Turek, CJ Paciorek… - … of Computational and …, 2017 - Taylor & Francis
We describe NIMBLE, a system for programming statistical algorithms for general model
structures within R. NIMBLE is designed to meet three challenges: flexible model …

Diversification practices reduce organic to conventional yield gap

LC Ponisio, LK M'Gonigle, KC Mace… - … of the Royal …, 2015 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Agriculture today places great strains on biodiversity, soils, water and the atmosphere, and
these strains will be exacerbated if current trends in population growth, meat and energy …

Replication levels, false presences and the estimation of the presence/absence from eDNA metabarcoding data

GF Ficetola, J Pansu, A Bonin… - Molecular ecology …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Environmental DNA (eDNA) metabarcoding is increasingly used to study the present and
past biodiversity. eDNA analyses often rely on amplification of very small quantities or …

The BUGS book

D Lunn, C Jackson, N Best, A Thomas… - A practical …, 2013 - api.taylorfrancis.com
History Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, in which plausible values for unknown
quantities are simulated from their appropriate probability distribution, have revolutionised …

[BOK][B] Bayesian models: a statistical primer for ecologists

NT Hobbs, MB Hooten - 2015 - degruyter.com
Bayesian modeling has become an indispensable tool for ecological research because it is
uniquely suited to deal with complexity in a statistically coherent way. This textbook provides …