Research opportunities in preparing supply chains of essential goods for future pandemics
The COVID-19 pandemic severely tested the resilience and robustness of supply chains for
medically critical items and various common household goods. Severe and prolonged …
medically critical items and various common household goods. Severe and prolonged …
[PDF][PDF] Policy implications of models of the spread of coronavirus: Perspectives and opportunities for economists
This paper provides a critical review of models of the spread of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-
2) epidemic that have been influential in recent policy decisions. There is tremendous …
2) epidemic that have been influential in recent policy decisions. There is tremendous …
The challenges of modeling and forecasting the spread of COVID-19
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has placed epidemic modeling at the
forefront of worldwide public policy making. Nonetheless, modeling and forecasting the …
forefront of worldwide public policy making. Nonetheless, modeling and forecasting the …
Inferring change points in the spread of COVID-19 reveals the effectiveness of interventions
INTRODUCTION When faced with the outbreak of a novel epidemic such as coronavirus
disease 2019 (COVID-19), rapid response measures are required by individuals, as well as …
disease 2019 (COVID-19), rapid response measures are required by individuals, as well as …
The role of seasonality in the spread of COVID-19 pandemic
It has been reported that the transmission of COVID-19 can be influenced by the variation of
environmental factors due to the seasonal cycle. However, its underlying mechanism in the …
environmental factors due to the seasonal cycle. However, its underlying mechanism in the …
Optimal mitigation policies in a pandemic: Social distancing and working from home
We study an economy's response to an unexpected epidemic. The spread of the disease
can be mitigated by reducing consumption and hours worked in the office. Working from …
can be mitigated by reducing consumption and hours worked in the office. Working from …
Susceptible-infected-recovered (sir) dynamics of covid-19 and economic impact
AA Toda - arxiv preprint arxiv:2003.11221, 2020 - arxiv.org
I estimate the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model for Coronavirus
Disease 2019 (COVID-19). The transmission rate is heterogeneous across countries and far …
Disease 2019 (COVID-19). The transmission rate is heterogeneous across countries and far …
Analytical features of the SIR model and their applications to COVID-19
NA Kudryashov, MA Chmykhov… - Applied Mathematical …, 2021 - Elsevier
A classic two-parameter epidemiological SIR-model of the coronavirus propagation is
considered. The first integrals of the system of non-linear equations are obtained. The …
considered. The first integrals of the system of non-linear equations are obtained. The …
Analytical solution of the SIR-model for the temporal evolution of epidemics. Part A: time-independent reproduction factor
We revisit the susceptible-infectious-recovered/removed (SIR) model which is one of the
simplest compartmental models. Many epidemological models are derivatives of this basic …
simplest compartmental models. Many epidemological models are derivatives of this basic …
[HTML][HTML] Modeling and forecasting of COVID-19 using a hybrid dynamic model based on SEIRD with ARIMA corrections
The outbreak of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) attracted worldwide attention. It has posed a
significant challenge for the global economies, especially the healthcare sector. Even with a …
significant challenge for the global economies, especially the healthcare sector. Even with a …