Conformal prediction: a unified review of theory and new challenges

M Fontana, G Zeni, S Vantini - Bernoulli, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
Conformal prediction: A unified review of theory and new challenges Page 1 Bernoulli 29(1),
2023, 1–23 https://doi.org/10.3150/21-BEJ1447 Conformal prediction: A unified review of …

A gentle introduction to conformal prediction and distribution-free uncertainty quantification

AN Angelopoulos, S Bates - arxiv preprint arxiv:2107.07511, 2021 - arxiv.org
Black-box machine learning models are now routinely used in high-risk settings, like
medical diagnostics, which demand uncertainty quantification to avoid consequential model …

Distribution-free, risk-controlling prediction sets

S Bates, A Angelopoulos, L Lei, J Malik… - Journal of the ACM …, 2021 - dl.acm.org
While improving prediction accuracy has been the focus of machine learning in recent years,
this alone does not suffice for reliable decision-making. Deploying learning systems in …

Conformal prediction under covariate shift

RJ Tibshirani, R Foygel Barber… - Advances in neural …, 2019 - proceedings.neurips.cc
We extend conformal prediction methodology beyond the case of exchangeable data. In
particular, we show that a weighted version of conformal prediction can be used to compute …

Image-to-image regression with distribution-free uncertainty quantification and applications in imaging

AN Angelopoulos, AP Kohli, S Bates… - International …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
Image-to-image regression is an important learning task, used frequently in biological
imaging. Current algorithms, however, do not generally offer statistical guarantees that …

Distribution-free predictive inference for regression

J Lei, M G'Sell, A Rinaldo, RJ Tibshirani… - Journal of the …, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
We develop a general framework for distribution-free predictive inference in regression,
using conformal inference. The proposed methodology allows for the construction of a …

Testing for outliers with conformal p-values

S Bates, E Candès, L Lei, Y Romano… - The Annals of …, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
Testing for outliers with conformal p-values Page 1 The Annals of Statistics 2023, Vol. 51, No.
1, 149–178 https://doi.org/10.1214/22-AOS2244 © Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2023 …

Learn then test: Calibrating predictive algorithms to achieve risk control

AN Angelopoulos, S Bates, EJ Candès… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2021 - arxiv.org
We introduce a framework for calibrating machine learning models so that their predictions
satisfy explicit, finite-sample statistical guarantees. Our calibration algorithms work with any …

[LIBRO][B] Algorithmic learning in a random world

V Vovk, A Gammerman, G Shafer - 2005 - Springer
Vladimir Vovk Alexander Gammerman Glenn Shafer Second Edition Page 1 Vladimir Vovk
Alexander Gammerman Glenn Shafer Algorithmic Learning in a Random World Second …

Conformal prediction: A gentle introduction

AN Angelopoulos, S Bates - Foundations and Trends® in …, 2023 - nowpublishers.com
Black-box machine learning models are now routinely used in high-risk settings, like
medical diagnostics, which demand uncertainty quantification to avoid consequential model …