Computing return times or return periods with rare event algorithms

T Lestang, F Ragone, CE Bréhier… - Journal of Statistical …, 2018 - iopscience.iop.org
The average time between two occurrences of the same event, referred to as its return time
(or return period), is a useful statistical concept for practical applications. For instance …

On the asymptotic normality of adaptive multilevel splitting

F Cérou, B Delyon, A Guyader, M Rousset - SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty …, 2019 - SIAM
Adaptive multilevel splitting (AMS) is a generic Monte Carlo method for Markov processes
that simulates rare events and estimates associated probabilities. Despite its practical …

A central limit theorem for Fleming–Viot particle systems

F Cérou, B Delyon, A Guyader, M Rousset - 2020 - projecteuclid.org
Fleming–Viot type particle systems represent a classical way to approximate the distribution
of a Markov process with killing, given that it is still alive at a final deterministic time. In this …

Convergence of the Fleming-Viot process toward the minimal quasi-stationary distribution

N Champagnat, D Villemonais - arxiv preprint arxiv:1810.06849, 2018 - arxiv.org
We prove under mild conditions that the Fleming-Viot process selects the minimal quasi-
stationary distribution for Markov processes with soft killing on non-compact state spaces …

Higher order fluctuation expansions for nonlinear stochastic heat equations in singular limits

B Gess, Z Wu, R Zhang - arxiv preprint arxiv:2406.17892, 2024 - arxiv.org
Higher order fluctuation expansions for stochastic heat equations (SHE) with nonlinear, non-
conservative and conservative noise are obtained. These Edgeworth-type expansions …

Convergence of a particle approximation for the quasi-stationary distribution of a diffusion process: Uniform estimates in a compact soft case

L Journel, P Monmarché - ESAIM: Probability and Statistics, 2022 - esaim-ps.org
We establish the convergences (with respect to the simulation time t; the number of particles
N; the timestep γ) of a Moran/Fleming-Viot type particle scheme toward the quasi-stationary …

[HTML][HTML] Limit theorems for cloning algorithms

L Angeli, S Grosskinsky, AM Johansen - Stochastic Processes and their …, 2021 - Elsevier
Large deviations for additive path functionals of stochastic processes have attracted
significant research interest, in particular in the context of stochastic particle systems and …

Uniform in time propagation of chaos for a Moran model

B Cloez, J Corujo - Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2022 - Elsevier
This article studies the limit of the empirical distribution induced by a mutation-selection multi-
allelic Moran model. Our results include a uniform in time bound for the propagation of …

Central Limit Theorem for stationary Fleming--Viot particle systems in finite spaces

T Lelièvre, L Pillaud-Vivien, J Reygner - arxiv preprint arxiv:1806.04490, 2018 - arxiv.org
We consider the Fleming--Viot particle system associated with a continuous-time Markov
chain in a finite space. Assuming irreducibility, it is known that the particle system possesses …

Binary branching processes with Moran type interactions

AMG Cox, E Horton, D Villemonais - arxiv preprint arxiv:2207.03323, 2022 - arxiv.org
The aim of this paper is to study the large population limit of a binary branching particle
system with Moran type interactions: we introduce a new model where particles evolve …