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Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review
Forecast combinations have flourished remarkably in the forecasting community and, in
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …
Solar forecasting with hourly updated numerical weather prediction
Solar forecasters have hitherto been restricting the application of numerical weather
prediction (NWP) to day-ahead forecasting scenarios. With the hourly updated NWP models …
prediction (NWP) to day-ahead forecasting scenarios. With the hourly updated NWP models …
Demand forecasting model for time-series pharmaceutical data using shallow and deep neural network model
Demand forecasting is a scientific and methodical assessment of future demand for a critical
product. The effective Demand Forecast Model (DFM) enables pharmaceutical companies to …
product. The effective Demand Forecast Model (DFM) enables pharmaceutical companies to …
Why does forecast combination work so well?
AF Atiya - International Journal of Forecasting, 2020 - Elsevier
Forecast combinations were big winners in the M4 competition. This note reflects on and
analyzes the reasons for the success of forecast combination. We illustrate graphically how …
analyzes the reasons for the success of forecast combination. We illustrate graphically how …
A hybrid demand forecasting model for greater forecasting accuracy: the case of the pharmaceutical industry
In the era of modern technology, the competitive paradigm among organisations is changing
at an unprecedented rate. New success measures are applied to the organisation's supply …
at an unprecedented rate. New success measures are applied to the organisation's supply …
Forecasting with time series imaging
Feature-based time series representations have attracted substantial attention in a wide
range of time series analysis methods. Recently, the use of time series features for forecast …
range of time series analysis methods. Recently, the use of time series features for forecast …
[BOEK][B] Solar irradiance and photovoltaic power forecasting
Forecasting plays an indispensable role in grid integration of solar energy, which is an
important pathway toward the grand goal of achieving planetary carbon neutrality. This …
important pathway toward the grand goal of achieving planetary carbon neutrality. This …
A comparison of methods for forecasting value at risk and expected shortfall of cryptocurrencies
Several procedures to forecast daily risk measures in cryptocurrency markets have been
recently implemented in the literature. Among them, long‐memory processes, procedures …
recently implemented in the literature. Among them, long‐memory processes, procedures …
Forecast with forecasts: Diversity matters
Forecast combinations have been widely applied in the last few decades to improve
forecasting. Estimating optimal weights that can outperform simple averages is not always …
forecasting. Estimating optimal weights that can outperform simple averages is not always …
[HTML][HTML] An algorithm for automatic selection and combination of forecast models
C García-Aroca, MA Martínez-Mayoral… - Expert Systems with …, 2024 - Elsevier
In this paper, we present an algorithm designed to automatically merge predictions from a
collection of individual prediction methods coded in R. The algorithm employs varying …
collection of individual prediction methods coded in R. The algorithm employs varying …