Nonlinearity in stock returns: Do risk aversion, investor sentiment and, monetary policy shocks matter?

M Dahmene, A Boughrara, S Slim - International Review of Economics & …, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper examines the nonlinear effect of risk aversion, monetary shocks and sentiment
changes, on index returns for a set of developed countries. We employ a smooth transition …

A pre-crisis vs. crisis analysis of peripheral EU stock markets by means of wavelet transform and a nonlinear causality test

JM Polanco-Martínez, J Fernández-Macho… - Physica A: Statistical …, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper presents an analysis of EU peripheral (so-called PIIGS) stock market indices and
the S&P Europe 350 index (SPEURO), as a European benchmark market, over the pre-crisis …

Non-linear predictability in stock and bond returns: When and where is it exploitable?

M Guidolin, S Hyde, D McMillan, S Ono - International Journal of …, 2009 - Elsevier
We systematically examine the comparative predictive performance of a number of linear
and non-linear models for stock and bond returns in the G7 countries. Besides Markov …

Do macro-economic variables explain stock-market returns? Evidence using a semi-parametric approach

S Mishra, H Singh - Journal of Asset Management, 2012 - Springer
In this article we test whether the stock market in India is driven by macro-economic
fundamentals. We use a non-parametric approach to determine whether any variables are …

Regime dependent dynamics and European stock markets: Is asset allocation really possible?

W Ahmad, NR Bhanumurthy, S Sehgal - Empirica, 2015 - Springer
In this study, we examine the regime shifts and volatility in stock market returns of eighteen
European stock markets and the USA and utilize these regimes in asset allocation and risk …

[PDF][PDF] Regime changes in the relationship between stock returns and the macroeconomy

D Bredin, S Hyde, GO Reilly - 2005 - papers.ssrn.com
The presence of nonlinear influences in the relationship between stock returns and the
macroeconomy is examined for eight countries. The markets chosen are Belgium, Canada …

Does the Macroeconomy Predict UK Asset Returns in a Nonlinear Fashion? Comprehensive Out‐of‐Sample Evidence

M Guidolin, S Hyde, D McMillan… - Oxford Bulletin of …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive
performance of linear and nonlinear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate …

Time‐varying world and regional integration in emerging European equity markets

MC Wang, FM Shih - European Financial Management, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
This study investigates time‐varying world and regional integration in emerging European
markets. Categorising global and regional effects into return and volatility spillovers, we also …

Equity portfolio diversification under time-varying predictability: Evidence from Ireland, the US, and the UK

M Guidolin, S Hyde - Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 2008 - Elsevier
We use multivariate regime switching vector autoregressive models to characterize the time-
varying linkages among short-term interest rates (monetary policy) and stock returns in the …

Benchmark bonds interactions under regime shifts

DA Georgoutsos, PM Migiakis - European Financial …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
In the present paper we examine the interactions among five benchmark ten year
government bonds, namely those of the USA, Germany, France, Italy and the Netherlands …