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Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis: multiple sources and global applications
Applying probabilistic methods to infrequent but devastating natural events is intrinsically
challenging. For tsunami analyses, a suite of geophysical assessments should be in …
challenging. For tsunami analyses, a suite of geophysical assessments should be in …
[HTML][HTML] Volcanic hazard impacts to critical infrastructure: A review
Effective natural hazard risk assessment requires the characterisation of both hazards and
vulnerabilities of exposed elements. Volcanic hazard assessment is at an advanced state …
vulnerabilities of exposed elements. Volcanic hazard assessment is at an advanced state …
Basic principles of multi-risk assessment: a case study in Italy
The assessment of the impact of different catastrophic events in a given area requires
innovative approaches that allow risks comparison and that account for all the possible risk …
innovative approaches that allow risks comparison and that account for all the possible risk …
Tephrostratigraphy and glass compositions of post-15 kyr Campi Flegrei eruptions: implications for eruption history and chronostratigraphic markers
Volcanic ash (tephra) erupted from the frequently active Campi Flegrei volcano forms layers
in many palaeoenvironmental archives across Italy and the Mediterranean. Proximal …
in many palaeoenvironmental archives across Italy and the Mediterranean. Proximal …
Partly cloudy with a chance of lava flows: Forecasting volcanic eruptions in the twenty‐first century
A primary goal of volcanology is forecasting hazardous eruptive activity. Despite much
progress over the last century, however, volcanoes still erupt with no detected precursors …
progress over the last century, however, volcanoes still erupt with no detected precursors …
Probabilistic eruption forecasting at short and long time scales
Any effective volcanic risk mitigation strategy requires a scientific assessment of the future
evolution of a volcanic system and its eruptive behavior. Some consider the onus should be …
evolution of a volcanic system and its eruptive behavior. Some consider the onus should be …
Guidelines for volcano-observatory operations during crises: recommendations from the 2019 volcano observatory best practices meeting
Abstract In November 2019, the fourth Volcano Observatory Best Practices workshop was
held in Mexico City as a series of talks, discussions, and panels. Volcanologists from around …
held in Mexico City as a series of talks, discussions, and panels. Volcanologists from around …
Probabilistic hazard for seismically induced tsunamis: accuracy and feasibility of inundation maps
Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis (PTHA) relies on computationally demanding
numerical simulations of tsunami generation, propagation, and non-linear inundation on …
numerical simulations of tsunami generation, propagation, and non-linear inundation on …
Accounting for epistemic uncertainty in PSHA: Logic tree and ensemble modeling
Any trustworthy probabilistic seismic‐hazard analysis (PSHA) has to account for the intrinsic
variability of the system (aleatory variability) and the limited knowledge of the system itself …
variability of the system (aleatory variability) and the limited knowledge of the system itself …
Probability hazard map for future vent opening at the Campi Flegrei caldera, Italy
Abstract The Campi Flegrei caldera is a restless structure affected by general subsidence
and ongoing resurgence of its central part. The persistent activity of the system and the …
and ongoing resurgence of its central part. The persistent activity of the system and the …