Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects
BACKGROUND Tropical Pacific decadal climate variability and change (TPDV) affects the
global climate system, extreme weather events, agricultural production, streamflow, marine …
global climate system, extreme weather events, agricultural production, streamflow, marine …
Framing, Context, and Methods (Chapter 1)
Working Group I (WGI) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assesses
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …
Spatial and temporal patterns of mass bleaching of corals in the Anthropocene
Tropical reef systems are transitioning to a new era in which the interval between recurrent
bouts of coral bleaching is too short for a full recovery of mature assemblages. We analyzed …
bouts of coral bleaching is too short for a full recovery of mature assemblages. We analyzed …
Twenty-first century hydroclimate: A continually changing baseline, with more frequent extremes
Variability in hydroclimate impacts natural and human systems worldwide. In particular, both
decadal variability and extreme precipitation events have substantial effects and are …
decadal variability and extreme precipitation events have substantial effects and are …
300 years of sclerosponge thermometry shows global warming has exceeded 1.5 C
Anthropogenic emissions drive global-scale warming yet the temperature increase relative
to pre-industrial levels is uncertain. Using 300 years of ocean mixed-layer temperature …
to pre-industrial levels is uncertain. Using 300 years of ocean mixed-layer temperature …
Higher frequency of Central Pacific El Niño events in recent decades relative to past centuries
El Niño events differ substantially in their spatial pattern and intensity. Canonical Eastern
Pacific El Niño events have sea surface temperature anomalies that are strongest in the far …
Pacific El Niño events have sea surface temperature anomalies that are strongest in the far …
[HTML][HTML] A global multiproxy database for temperature reconstructions of the Common Era
PAGES2k Consortium - Scientific data, 2017 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Reproducible climate reconstructions of the Common Era (1 CE to present) are key to
placing industrial-era warming into the context of natural climatic variability. Here we present …
placing industrial-era warming into the context of natural climatic variability. Here we present …
Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents
The evolution of industrial-era warming across the continents and oceans provides a context
for future climate change and is important for determining climate sensitivity and the …
for future climate change and is important for determining climate sensitivity and the …
ModE-RA: a global monthly paleo-reanalysis of the modern era 1421 to 2008
Abstract The Modern Era Reanalysis (ModE-RA) is a global monthly paleo-reanalysis
covering the period between 1421 and 2008. To reconstruct past climate fields an offline …
covering the period between 1421 and 2008. To reconstruct past climate fields an offline …