Selecting among competing statistical models is a core challenge in science. However, the
many possible approaches and techniques for model selection, and the conflicting …

Environmental changes are expected to alter both the distribution and the abundance of
organisms. A disproportionate amount of past work has focused on distribution only, either …

Over the past 30 years, one of the most rapidly expanding areas in ecology has been the
development of structured population models, where individuals have attributes such as …

Integral projection models (IPM s) use information on how an individual's state influences its
vital rates–survival, growth and reproduction–to make population projections. IPM s are …

The timing of life events (phenology) can be influenced by climate. Studies from around the
world tell us that climate cues and species' responses can vary greatly. If variation in climate …

Niche differences and average fitness differences jointly determine coexistence. However,
little empirical information about the magnitude of these two mechanisms is available. Using …

Modern reliance on fossil fuels has ushered in extreme temperatures globally and abnormal
precipitation patterns in many regions. Although the climate is changing rapidly, other …

Biotic interactions are often ignored in assessments of climate change impacts. However,
climate‐related changes in species interactions, often mediated through increased …

A change in a climate variable may alter a species' abundance not only through a direct
effect on that species' vital rates, but also through 'indirect'effects mediated by species …

The apparent failure of ecosystems to recover from increasingly widespread disturbance is a
global concern. Despite growing focus on factors inhibiting resilience and restoration, we …