Bayesian forecasting in economics and finance: A modern review

GM Martin, DT Frazier, W Maneesoonthorn… - International Journal of …, 2024 - Elsevier
The Bayesian statistical paradigm provides a principled and coherent approach to
probabilistic forecasting. Uncertainty about all unknowns that characterize any forecasting …

A survey of constrained Gaussian process regression: Approaches and implementation challenges

LP Swiler, M Gulian, AL Frankel, C Safta… - Journal of Machine …, 2020 - dl.begellhouse.com
Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of
expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many …

Bayesian conjugacy in probit, tobit, multinomial probit and extensions: A review and new results

N Anceschi, A Fasano, D Durante… - Journal of the American …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
ABSTRACT A broad class of models that routinely appear in several fields can be expressed
as partially or fully discretized Gaussian linear regressions. Besides including classical …

[HTML][HTML] Bayesian-EUCLID: Discovering hyperelastic material laws with uncertainties

A Joshi, P Thakolkaran, Y Zheng, M Escande… - Computer Methods in …, 2022 - Elsevier
Within the scope of our recent approach for Efficient Unsupervised Constitutive Law
Identification and Discovery (EUCLID), we propose an unsupervised Bayesian learning …

[KNJIGA][B] What drives core inflation? The role of supply shocks

M Bańbura, E Bobeica, C Martínez Hernández - 2023 - econstor.eu
We propose a framework to identify a rich set of structural drivers of inflation in order to
understand the role of the multiple and concomitant sources of the post-pandemic inflation …

Reliability analysis of deteriorating structural systems

D Straub, R Schneider, E Bismut, HJ Kim - Structural safety, 2020 - Elsevier
Reliability analysis of deteriorating structural systems requires the solution of time-variant
reliability problems. In the general case, both the capacity of and the loads on the structure …

Finite-dimensional Gaussian approximation with linear inequality constraints

AF López-Lopera, F Bachoc, N Durrande… - SIAM/ASA Journal on …, 2018 - SIAM
Introducing inequality constraints in Gaussian processes can lead to more realistic
uncertainties in learning a great variety of real-world problems. We consider the finite …

Cylindrical Thompson sampling for high-dimensional Bayesian optimization

B Rashidi, K Johnstonbaugh… - … Conference on Artificial …, 2024 - proceedings.mlr.press
Many industrial and scientific applications require optimization of one or more objectives by
tuning dozens or hundreds of input parameters. While Bayesian optimization has been a …

[HTML][HTML] A new algorithm for structural restrictions in Bayesian vector autoregressions

D Korobilis - European Economic Review, 2022 - Elsevier
A comprehensive methodology for inference in vector autoregressions (VARs) using sign
and other structural restrictions is developed. The reduced-form VAR disturbances are …

Conjugate Bayes for probit regression via unified skew-normal distributions

D Durante - Biometrika, 2019 - academic.oup.com
Regression models for dichotomous data are ubiquitous in statistics. Besides being useful
for inference on binary responses, these methods serve as building blocks in more complex …