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Projections of an ice-free Arctic Ocean
Observed Arctic sea ice losses are a sentinel of anthropogenic climate change. These
reductions are projected to continue with ongoing warming, ultimately leading to an ice-free …
reductions are projected to continue with ongoing warming, ultimately leading to an ice-free …
Anthropogenic impacts on twentieth-century ENSO variability changes
Abstract El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) sea surface temperature (SST) variability
increased after 1960, influenced by more frequent strong El Niño and La Niña events …
increased after 1960, influenced by more frequent strong El Niño and La Niña events …
Systematic climate model biases in the large‐scale patterns of recent sea‐surface temperature and sea‐level pressure change
Observed surface temperature trends over recent decades are characterized by (a)
intensified warming in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool and slight cooling in the eastern …
intensified warming in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool and slight cooling in the eastern …
Observed humidity trends in dry regions contradict climate models
Arid and semi-arid regions of the world are particularly vulnerable to greenhouse gas–
driven hydroclimate change. Climate models are our primary tool for projecting the future …
driven hydroclimate change. Climate models are our primary tool for projecting the future …
Data-driven predictions of the time remaining until critical global warming thresholds are reached
Leveraging artificial neural networks (ANNs) trained on climate model output, we use the
spatial pattern of historical temperature observations to predict the time until critical global …
spatial pattern of historical temperature observations to predict the time until critical global …
Seasonal advance of intense tropical cyclones in a warming climate
Intense tropical cyclones (TCs), which often peak in autumn,, have destructive impacts on
life and property,–, making it crucial to determine whether any changes in intense TCs are …
life and property,–, making it crucial to determine whether any changes in intense TCs are …
Exacerbated summer European warming not captured by climate models neglecting long-term aerosol changes
In much of western-central Europe, summer temperatures have surged three times faster
than the global mean warming since 1980, yet this is not captured by most climate model …
than the global mean warming since 1980, yet this is not captured by most climate model …
Steady threefold Arctic amplification of externally forced warming masked by natural variability
Arctic amplification—the amplified surface warming in the Arctic relative to the globe—is a
robust feature of climate change. However, there is a considerable spread in the reported …
robust feature of climate change. However, there is a considerable spread in the reported …
More frequent atmospheric rivers slow the seasonal recovery of Arctic sea ice
In recent decades, Arctic sea-ice coverage underwent a drastic decline in winter, when sea
ice is expected to recover following the melting season. It is unclear to what extent …
ice is expected to recover following the melting season. It is unclear to what extent …
Recent pronounced warming on the Mongolian Plateau boosted by internal climate variability
Exceptionally strong summertime warming occurred over the Mongolian Plateau between
1986 and 2004, at a rate that was three times the average terrestrial warming in the Northern …
1986 and 2004, at a rate that was three times the average terrestrial warming in the Northern …