Importance of internal variability for climate model assessment
Benchmarking climate model simulations against observations of the climate is core to the
process of building realistic climate models and develo** accurate future projections …
process of building realistic climate models and develo** accurate future projections …
Windows of opportunity for predicting seasonal climate extremes highlighted by the Pakistan floods of 2022
Skilful predictions of near-term climate extremes are key to a resilient society. However,
standard methods of analysing seasonal forecasts are not optimised to identify the rarer and …
standard methods of analysing seasonal forecasts are not optimised to identify the rarer and …
Evolution of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall simulations from CMIP3 to CMIP6 models
Systematic biases in simulation of the mean and variability of Indian summer monsoon
rainfall (ISMR) and its teleconnection with the El Nino and Southern Oscillation (ENSO) by …
rainfall (ISMR) and its teleconnection with the El Nino and Southern Oscillation (ENSO) by …
Past, present and future perspectives of seasonal prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall: A review
This paper presents a detailed review and discussion on the long-range forecast (LRF) of
Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR), its present status, problems, and perspectives with …
Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR), its present status, problems, and perspectives with …
[HTML][HTML] Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction
WJ Merryfield, J Baehr, L Batté… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Alessandri, A., F. Catalano, M. De Felice, B. Van Den Hurk, F. Doblas Reyes, S. Boussetta,
G. Balsamo, and PA Miller, 2017: Multi-scale enhancement of climate prediction over land …
G. Balsamo, and PA Miller, 2017: Multi-scale enhancement of climate prediction over land …
Long-range prediction and the stratosphere
Over recent years there have been concomitant advances in the development of
stratosphere-resolving numerical models, our understanding of stratosphere–troposphere …
stratosphere-resolving numerical models, our understanding of stratosphere–troposphere …
Skilful interannual climate prediction from two large initialised model ensembles
Climate prediction skill on the interannual timescale, which sits between that of seasonal
and decadal, is investigated using large ensembles from the Met Office and CESM initialised …
and decadal, is investigated using large ensembles from the Met Office and CESM initialised …
Past, present, and future of the South Asian monsoon
As a key component of the global climate system, the South Asian monsoon represents the
largest of the Earth's monsoon systems and a lifeline for the region's nearly 2 billion people …
largest of the Earth's monsoon systems and a lifeline for the region's nearly 2 billion people …
[HTML][HTML] Long-lead statistical forecasts of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall based on causal precursors
Skillful forecasts of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) at long lead times (4–5
months in advance) pose great challenges due to strong internal variability of the monsoon …
months in advance) pose great challenges due to strong internal variability of the monsoon …
Forecast skill of the Indian monsoon and its onset in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 5 (SEAS5)
Accurate forecasting of variations in Indian monsoon precipitation and progression on
seasonal time scales remains a challenge for prediction centres. We examine prediction skill …
seasonal time scales remains a challenge for prediction centres. We examine prediction skill …