Net zero: science, origins, and implications
MR Allen, P Friedlingstein, CAJ Girardin… - Annual Review of …, 2022 - annualreviews.org
This review explains the science behind the drive for global net zero emissions and why this
is needed to halt the ongoing rise in global temperatures. We document how the concept of …
is needed to halt the ongoing rise in global temperatures. We document how the concept of …
An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence
We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …
Causes of higher climate sensitivity in CMIP6 models
Equilibrium climate sensitivity, the global surface temperature response to CO doubling, has
been persistently uncertain. Recent consensus places it likely within 1.5–4.5 K. Global …
been persistently uncertain. Recent consensus places it likely within 1.5–4.5 K. Global …
Context for interpreting equilibrium climate sensitivity and transient climate response from the CMIP6 Earth system models
For the current generation of earth system models participating in the Coupled Model
Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), the range of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS …
Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), the range of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS …
Data-driven predictions of the time remaining until critical global warming thresholds are reached
NS Diffenbaugh, EA Barnes - Proceedings of the National …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
Leveraging artificial neural networks (ANNs) trained on climate model output, we use the
spatial pattern of historical temperature observations to predict the time until critical global …
spatial pattern of historical temperature observations to predict the time until critical global …
The DOE E3SM coupled model version 1: Overview and evaluation at standard resolution
This work documents the first version of the US Department of Energy (DOE) new Energy
Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1). We focus on the standard resolution of the fully …
Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1). We focus on the standard resolution of the fully …
Quantifying climate feedbacks in polar regions
The concept of feedback is key in assessing whether a perturbation to a system is amplified
or damped by mechanisms internal to the system. In polar regions, climate dynamics are …
or damped by mechanisms internal to the system. In polar regions, climate dynamics are …
Reconciling controversies about the 'global warming hiatus'
Between about 1998 and 2012, a time that coincided with political negotiations for
preventing climate change, the surface of Earth seemed hardly to warm. This phenomenon …
preventing climate change, the surface of Earth seemed hardly to warm. This phenomenon …
Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy
The remaining carbon budget represents the total amount of CO2 that can still be emitted in
the future while limiting global warming to a given temperature target. Remaining carbon …
the future while limiting global warming to a given temperature target. Remaining carbon …
Polar amplification dominated by local forcing and feedbacks
The surface temperature response to greenhouse gas forcing displays a characteristic
pattern of polar-amplified warming,,,–, particularly in the Northern Hemisphere. However, the …
pattern of polar-amplified warming,,,–, particularly in the Northern Hemisphere. However, the …