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Representing model uncertainty in weather and climate prediction
TN Palmer, GJ Shutts, R Hagedorn… - Annu. Rev. Earth …, 2005 - annualreviews.org
▪ Abstract Weather and climate predictions are uncertain, because both forecast initial
conditions and the computational representation of the known equations of motion are …
conditions and the computational representation of the known equations of motion are …
Towards the probabilistic Earth‐system simulator: A vision for the future of climate and weather prediction
TN Palmer - Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
There is no more challenging problem in computational science than that of estimating, as
accurately as science and technology allows, the future evolution of Earth's climate; nor …
accurately as science and technology allows, the future evolution of Earth's climate; nor …
Could machine learning break the convection parameterization deadlock?
Representing unresolved moist convection in coarse‐scale climate models remains one of
the main bottlenecks of current climate simulations. Many of the biases present with …
the main bottlenecks of current climate simulations. Many of the biases present with …
Development of a European multimodel ensemble system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER)
TN Palmer, A Alessandri, U Andersen… - Bulletin of the …, 2004 - journals.ametsoc.org
A multi-model ensemble-based system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction has been
developed in a joint European project known as DEMETER (Development of a European …
developed in a joint European project known as DEMETER (Development of a European …
A stochastic parameterization for deep convection based on equilibrium statistics
A stochastic parameterization scheme for deep convection is described, suitable for use in
both climate and NWP models. Theoretical arguments and the results of cloud-resolving …
both climate and NWP models. Theoretical arguments and the results of cloud-resolving …
Toward a stochastic parameterization of ocean mesoscale eddies
PGLP Mana, L Zanna - Ocean Modelling, 2014 - Elsevier
A stochastic parameterization of ocean mesoscale eddies is constructed in order to account
for the fluctuations in subgrid transport and to represent upscale turbulent cascades. Eddy …
for the fluctuations in subgrid transport and to represent upscale turbulent cascades. Eddy …
A stochastic multicloud model for tropical convection
B Khouider, J Biello, AJ Majda - 2010 - projecteuclid.org
A stochastic model for representing the missing variability in global climate models due to
unresolved features of organized tropical convection is presented here. We use a Markov …
unresolved features of organized tropical convection is presented here. We use a Markov …
A review of multiscale analysis: examples from systems biology, materials engineering, and other fluid–surface interacting systems
DG Vlachos - Advances in Chemical Engineering, 2005 - Elsevier
Multiscale simulation is an emerging scientific field that spans many disciplines, including
physics, chemistry, mathematics, statistics, chemical engineering, mechanical engineering …
physics, chemistry, mathematics, statistics, chemical engineering, mechanical engineering …
An applied mathematics perspective on stochastic modelling for climate
AJ Majda, C Franzke… - … Transactions of the …, 2008 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Systematic strategies from applied mathematics for stochastic modelling in climate are
reviewed here. One of the topics discussed is the stochastic modelling of mid-latitude low …
reviewed here. One of the topics discussed is the stochastic modelling of mid-latitude low …
Subgrid-scale parameterization with conditional Markov chains
D Crommelin… - Journal of the Atmospheric …, 2008 - journals.ametsoc.org
A new approach is proposed for stochastic parameterization of subgrid-scale processes in
models of atmospheric or oceanic circulation. The new approach relies on two key …
models of atmospheric or oceanic circulation. The new approach relies on two key …