This paper defends the view, put roughly, that to think that p is to guess that p is the answer
to the question at hand, and that to think that p rationally is for one's guess to that question to …

What does 'might'mean? One hypothesis is that 'It might be raining'is essentially an avowal
of ignorance like 'For all I know, it's raining'. But it turns out these two constructions embed in …

This paper argues that we should assign certainty a central place in epistemology. While
epistemic certainty played an important role in the history of epistemology, recent …

Abstract Stalnaker (Context, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2014) defends two ideas about
common ground. The first is that the common ground of a conversation is definable in terms …

Much linguistic evidence supports the view believing something only requires thinking it
likely. I assess and reject a rival view, based on recent work on homogeneity in natural …

The past decade has seen a protracted debate over the semantics of epistemic modals.
According to contextualists, epistemic modals quantify over the possibilities compatible with …

This paper develops an information-sensitive theory of the semantics and probability of
conditionals and statements involving epistemic modals. The theory validates a number of …

When is it permissible to rely on a proposition in practical reasoning? Standard answers to
this question face serious challenges. This paper uses these challenges to motivate a …

We often claim to know what might be—or probably is—the case. Modal knowledge along
these lines creates a puzzle for information-sensitive semantics for epistemic modals. This …

This paper explores the relationship between dynamic and truth conditional semantics for
epistemic modals. It provides a generalization of a standard dynamic update semantics for …