Uncertainties in projecting climate-change impacts in marine ecosystems
Projections of the impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems are a key prerequisite
for the planning of adaptation strategies, yet they are inevitably associated with uncertainty …
for the planning of adaptation strategies, yet they are inevitably associated with uncertainty …
A review on computer model calibration
Abstract Model calibration is crucial for optimizing the performance of complex computer
models across various disciplines. In the era of Industry 4.0, symbolizing rapid technological …
models across various disciplines. In the era of Industry 4.0, symbolizing rapid technological …
Ab initio predictions link the neutron skin of 208Pb to nuclear forces
Heavy atomic nuclei have an excess of neutrons over protons, which leads to the formation
of a neutron skin whose thickness is sensitive to details of the nuclear force. This links …
of a neutron skin whose thickness is sensitive to details of the nuclear force. This links …
Covasim: an agent-based model of COVID-19 dynamics and interventions
The COVID-19 pandemic has created an urgent need for models that can project epidemic
trends, explore intervention scenarios, and estimate resource needs. Here we describe the …
trends, explore intervention scenarios, and estimate resource needs. Here we describe the …
First observation of 28O
Y Kondo, NL Achouri, HA Falou, L Atar, T Aumann… - Nature, 2023 - nature.com
Subjecting a physical system to extreme conditions is one of the means often used to obtain
a better understanding and deeper insight into its organization and structure. In the case of …
a better understanding and deeper insight into its organization and structure. In the case of …
Controlling COVID-19 via test-trace-quarantine
Initial COVID-19 containment in the United States focused on limiting mobility, including
school and workplace closures. However, these interventions have had enormous societal …
school and workplace closures. However, these interventions have had enormous societal …
[HTML][HTML] An agent-based model to simulate technology adoption quantifying behavioural uncertainty of consumers
A good estimation of consumers' expected response to specific policy measures is of
paramount importance in the design of effective schemes for the adoption of new …
paramount importance in the design of effective schemes for the adoption of new …
The importance of uncertainty quantification in model reproducibility
Many computer models possess high-dimensional input spaces and substantial
computational time to produce a single model evaluation. Although such models are often …
computational time to produce a single model evaluation. Although such models are often …
Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling
The estimation of parameters and model structure for informing infectious disease response
has become a focal point of the recent pandemic. However, it has also highlighted a …
has become a focal point of the recent pandemic. However, it has also highlighted a …
Inverse generative social science: Backward to the future
JM Epstein - Journal of artificial societies and social simulation …, 2023 - pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
The agent-based model is the principal scientific instrument of generative social science.
Typically, we design completed agents—fully endowed with rules and parameters—to grow …
Typically, we design completed agents—fully endowed with rules and parameters—to grow …