Uncertainties in projecting climate-change impacts in marine ecosystems

MR Payne, M Barange, WWL Cheung… - ICES Journal of …, 2016 - academic.oup.com
Projections of the impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems are a key prerequisite
for the planning of adaptation strategies, yet they are inevitably associated with uncertainty …

A review on computer model calibration

CL Sung, R Tuo - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Model calibration is crucial for optimizing the performance of complex computer
models across various disciplines. In the era of Industry 4.0, symbolizing rapid technological …

Ab initio predictions link the neutron skin of 208Pb to nuclear forces

B Hu, W Jiang, T Miyagi, Z Sun, A Ekström, C Forssén… - Nature Physics, 2022 - nature.com
Heavy atomic nuclei have an excess of neutrons over protons, which leads to the formation
of a neutron skin whose thickness is sensitive to details of the nuclear force. This links …

Covasim: an agent-based model of COVID-19 dynamics and interventions

CC Kerr, RM Stuart, D Mistry… - PLOS Computational …, 2021 - journals.plos.org
The COVID-19 pandemic has created an urgent need for models that can project epidemic
trends, explore intervention scenarios, and estimate resource needs. Here we describe the …

First observation of 28O

Y Kondo, NL Achouri, HA Falou, L Atar, T Aumann… - Nature, 2023 - nature.com
Subjecting a physical system to extreme conditions is one of the means often used to obtain
a better understanding and deeper insight into its organization and structure. In the case of …

Controlling COVID-19 via test-trace-quarantine

CC Kerr, D Mistry, RM Stuart, K Rosenfeld… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
Initial COVID-19 containment in the United States focused on limiting mobility, including
school and workplace closures. However, these interventions have had enormous societal …

[HTML][HTML] An agent-based model to simulate technology adoption quantifying behavioural uncertainty of consumers

V Stavrakas, S Papadelis, A Flamos - Applied Energy, 2019 - Elsevier
A good estimation of consumers' expected response to specific policy measures is of
paramount importance in the design of effective schemes for the adoption of new …

The importance of uncertainty quantification in model reproducibility

V Volodina, P Challenor - Philosophical Transactions of …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Many computer models possess high-dimensional input spaces and substantial
computational time to produce a single model evaluation. Although such models are often …

Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling

B Swallow, P Birrell, J Blake, M Burgman, P Challenor… - Epidemics, 2022 - Elsevier
The estimation of parameters and model structure for informing infectious disease response
has become a focal point of the recent pandemic. However, it has also highlighted a …

Inverse generative social science: Backward to the future

JM Epstein - Journal of artificial societies and social simulation …, 2023 - pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
The agent-based model is the principal scientific instrument of generative social science.
Typically, we design completed agents—fully endowed with rules and parameters—to grow …