Exchange rates and interest parity

C Engel - Handbook of international economics, 2014 - Elsevier
This chapter surveys recent theoretical and empirical contributions on foreign exchange rate
determination. The chapter first examines monetary models under uncovered interest parity …

The purchasing power parity and exchange‐rate economics half a century on

HL Vo, DH Vo - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
The value of a country's currency is often considered as the most important price in the
economy. Exchange‐rate changes can significantly affect the profitability of exporters, the …

Exchange rate expectations and economic policy uncertainty

J Beckmann, R Czudaj - European journal of political economy, 2017 - Elsevier
This study provides a new angle on the relationship between political decisions and
exchange rates. We link a conventional exchange rate modeling approach to the literature …

Advances in forecasting under instability

B Rossi - Handbook of economic forecasting, 2013 - Elsevier
The forecasting literature has identified two important issues:(i) several predictors have
substantial and statistically significant predictive content, although only sporadically, and it is …

Can economic policy uncertainty predict exchange rate volatility? New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model

Z Zhou, Z Fu, Y Jiang, X Zeng, L Lin - Finance Research Letters, 2020 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the impact of relative economic policy uncertainty between China
and the United States (the Sino-US EPU ratio) on the Chinese exchange rate volatility by …

Economic policy uncertainty and exchange rates in emerging markets: Short and long runs evidence

A Abid - Finance Research Letters, 2020 - Elsevier
We revisit the association between fundamentals and exchange rates in emerging markets
relying on the role of the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) in explaining/forecasting …

[PDF][PDF] Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages

S Claessens, MA Kose - BIS Paper, 2018 - bis.org
The Great Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2007–09 confirmed the vital importance of advancing
our understanding of macrofinancial linkages. The GFC was a bitter reminder of how sharp …

Exchange rate prediction redux: New models, new data, new currencies

YW Cheung, MD Chinn, AG Pascual… - Journal of International …, 2019 - Elsevier
Previous assessments of nominal exchange rate determination, following Meese and Rogoff
(1983) have focused upon a narrow set of models. Cheung et al.(2005) augmented the …

Exchange rate expectation, abnormal returns, and the COVID-19 pandemic

J Beckmann, RL Czudaj - Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2022 - Elsevier
This study analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on exchange rates based on a
comprehensive set of survey forecasts for more than 50 currency pairs. At the first stage, we …

Is the intrinsic value of a macroeconomic news announcement related to its asset price impact?

T Gilbert, C Scotti, G Strasser, C Vega - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
The literature documents a heterogeneous asset price response to macroeconomic news
announcements. We relate this heterogeneity to a novel measure of the intrinsic value of an …