Two decades of climate tip** points research: Progress and outlook

DI Armstrong McKay - Dialogues on Climate Change, 2024‏ - journals.sagepub.com
The potential for nonlinear 'surprises' in the climate system has been recognised since the
1960s. One such nonlinearity is a tip** point: when change in a system becomes self …

[HTML][HTML] Key drivers of large scale changes in North Atlantic atmospheric and oceanic circulations and their predictability

B Dong, Y Aksenov, I Colfescu, B Harvey, J Hirschi… - Climate Dynamics, 2025‏ - Springer
Significant changes have occurred during the last few decades across the North Atlantic
climate system, including in the atmosphere, ocean, and cryosphere. These large-scale …

[HTML][HTML] Early warnings of the transition to a superrotating atmospheric state

MS Williamson, TM Lenton - Earth System Dynamics, 2024‏ - esd.copernicus.org
Several general circulation models (GCMs) show bifurcations of their atmospheric state
under a broad range of warm climates. These include some of the more extreme global …

Assessment of Abrupt Shifts in CMIP6 Models using Edge Detection

S Terpstra, SKJ Falkena, R Bastiaansen… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2024‏ - arxiv.org
Research over the past decade has shown that multiple elements of the climate system,
such as the Arctic Winter sea ice or the Amazon rainforest, could undergo abrupt shifts, but …