The potential of genomics for infectious disease forecasting

JE Stockdale, P Liu, C Colijn - Nature Microbiology, 2022 - nature.com
Genomic technologies have led to tremendous gains in understanding how pathogens
function, evolve and interact. Pathogen diversity is now measurable at high precision and …

Deep learning models for forecasting dengue fever based on climate data in Vietnam

VH Nguyen, TT Tuyet-Hanh, J Mulhall… - PLoS Neglected …, 2022 - journals.plos.org
Background Dengue fever (DF) represents a significant health burden in Vietnam, which is
forecast to worsen under climate change. The development of an early-warning system for …

On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks

SV Scarpino, G Petri - Nature communications, 2019 - nature.com
Infectious disease outbreaks recapitulate biology: they emerge from the multi-level
interaction of hosts, pathogens, and environment. Therefore, outbreak forecasting requires …

Perspectives and challenges in develo** and implementing integrated dengue surveillance tools and technology in Thailand: a qualitative study

C Rotejanaprasert, P Armatrmontree… - PLOS Neglected …, 2024 - journals.plos.org
Background Dengue remains a persistent public health concern, especially in tropical and
sub-tropical countries like Thailand. The development and utilization of quantitative tools …

Probabilistic seasonal dengue forecasting in Vietnam: A modelling study using superensembles

FJ Colón-González, L Soares Bastos, B Hofmann… - PLoS …, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Background With enough advanced notice, dengue outbreaks can be mitigated. As a
climate-sensitive disease, environmental conditions and past patterns of dengue can be …

Forecasting influenza in Hong Kong with Google search queries and statistical model fusion

Q Xu, YR Gel, LL Ramirez Ramirez, K Nezafati… - PloS one, 2017 - journals.plos.org
Background The objective of this study is to investigate predictive utility of online social
media and web search queries, particularly, Google search data, to forecast new cases of …

Incorporating human mobility data improves forecasts of Dengue fever in Thailand

MV Kiang, M Santillana, JT Chen, JP Onnela… - Scientific reports, 2021 - nature.com
Over 390 million people worldwide are infected with dengue fever each year. In the absence
of an effective vaccine for general use, national control programs must rely on hospital …

Technology to advance infectious disease forecasting for outbreak management

DB George, W Taylor, J Shaman, C Rivers… - Nature …, 2019 - nature.com
Forecasting is beginning to be integrated into decision-making processes for infectious
disease outbreak response. We discuss how technologies could accelerate the adoption of …

Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010–2014

SA Lauer, K Sakrejda, EL Ray, LT Keegan, Q Bi… - Proceedings of the …, 2018 - pnas.org
Dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF), a severe manifestation of dengue viral infection that can
cause severe bleeding, organ impairment, and even death, affects between 15,000 and …

Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling with sliding windows to correct reporting delays for real-time dengue surveillance in Thailand

C Rotejanaprasert, N Ekapirat, D Areechokchai… - International journal of …, 2020 - Springer
Background The ability to produce timely and accurate estimation of dengue cases can
significantly impact disease control programs. A key challenge for dengue control in …