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High-frequency identification of monetary non-neutrality: the information effect
We present estimates of monetary non-neutrality based on evidence from high-frequency
responses of real interest rates, expected inflation, and expected output growth. Our …
responses of real interest rates, expected inflation, and expected output growth. Our …
Signalling effects of monetary policy
L Melosi - The Review of Economic Studies, 2017 - academic.oup.com
We develop a dynamic general equilibrium model in which the policy rate signals the central
bank's view about macroeconomic developments to price setters. The model is estimated …
bank's view about macroeconomic developments to price setters. The model is estimated …
Policy language and information effects in the early days of Federal Reserve forward guidance
KG Lunsford - American Economic Review, 2020 - aeaweb.org
I show that the nature of the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC's) forward guidance
language shapes the private sector's responses to monetary policy statements. From …
language shapes the private sector's responses to monetary policy statements. From …
Signals from the government: Policy disagreement and the transmission of fiscal shocks
We investigate the effects of fiscal policy communication on the propagation of government
spending shocks. To this aim, we propose a new index measuring the coordination effects of …
spending shocks. To this aim, we propose a new index measuring the coordination effects of …
Monetary policy & anchored expectations—An endogenous gain learning model
L Gáti - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
Monetary policy is analyzed in a model with a potential unanchoring of inflation
expectations. The degree of unanchoring is given by how sensitively the public's long-run …
expectations. The degree of unanchoring is given by how sensitively the public's long-run …
How transparency kills information aggregation: theory and experiment
We investigate the potential of transparency to influence committee decision-making. We
present a model in which career concerned committee members receive private information …
present a model in which career concerned committee members receive private information …
Does communication influence executives' opinion of central bank policy?☆
We analyze the economic impact of central banks sensed by business executives in a
sample of 61 countries from 1998 to 2016. Based on a survey conducted by the Institute for …
sample of 61 countries from 1998 to 2016. Based on a survey conducted by the Institute for …
Bayesian persuasion with quadratic preferences
W Tamura - Available at SSRN 1987877, 2018 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper examines the optimal information design within a Bayesian persuasion setup
with multidimensional information. Assuming a linear-quadratic specification, I provide a …
with multidimensional information. Assuming a linear-quadratic specification, I provide a …
Talking Over Time‐Dynamic Central Bank Communication
L Gáti - Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This paper studies the optimal dynamic communication strategy of central banks using a
Bayesian persuasion game framework. In a dynamic environment, financial market …
Bayesian persuasion game framework. In a dynamic environment, financial market …
Selloffs, bailouts, and feedback: Can asset markets inform policy?
We introduce a new market microstructure model to study a setting in which an authority (eg
a firm manager or government policymaker) learns about the likelihood of a bad state by …
a firm manager or government policymaker) learns about the likelihood of a bad state by …