Measuring and mitigating systemic risks: how the forging of new alliances between central bank and academic economists legitimize the transnational …

M Thiemann, CR Melches… - Review of international …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
After the great financial crisis of 2007–2009, central banks were handed a macroprudential
mandate to contain systemic risks, a mandate seen as endangering their independence due …

Can bubble theory foresee banking crises?

T Virtanen, E Tölö, M Virén, K Taipalus - Journal of Financial Stability, 2018 - Elsevier
We consider the effectiveness of unit root exuberance tests in predicting banking crises.
Using a sample of 15 EU countries over the past three decades, our crisis dating follows the …

What drives US financial sector volatility? A Bayesian model averaging perspective

P Gernát, Z Košťálová, Š Lyócsa - Research in International Business and …, 2020 - Elsevier
We investigate the driving forces behind the quarterly stock price volatility of firms in the US
financial sector over the period from 1990 to 2017. The driving forces represent a set of 28 …

Towards better banking crisis prediction: could an automatic variable selection process improve the performance?

X Liu - Economic Record, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This study proposes using the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO)
method with cross‐validation to automate the variable selection process of the conventional …

[PDF][PDF] Synthèse du parcours scientifique

M Thiemann - 2020 - sciencespo.hal.science
Macro-prudential thinking and its emphasis on endogenously created systemic risks,
marginal in the banking regulation discourse until the mid-2000s, has become central post …