Bayesian inference and global sensitivity analysis for ambient solar wind prediction

O Issan, P Riley, E Camporeale, B Kramer - Space Weather, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
The ambient solar wind plays a significant role in propagating interplanetary coronal mass
ejections and is an important driver of space weather geomagnetic storms. A …

[HTML][HTML] Unifying the validation of ambient solar wind models

MA Reiss, K Muglach, R Mullinix… - Advances in Space …, 2023 - Elsevier
Progress in space weather research and awareness needs community-wide strategies and
procedures to evaluate our modeling assets. Here we present the activities of the Ambient …

The Schatten current sheet

KJ Knizhnik - Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences, 2024 - frontiersin.org
Space weather models endeavoring to connect remote observations to in-situ
measurements at various locations in the heliosphere invariably require a coronal model to …

Proposed resolution to the solar open magnetic flux problem

CN Arge, A Leisner, SK Antiochos… - The Astrophysical …, 2024 - iopscience.iop.org
The solar magnetic fields emerging from the photosphere into the chromosphere and corona
are comprised of a combination of closed (field lines with both ends rooted at the Sun) and …

Pulsar observations at low frequencies: applications to pulsar timing and solar wind models

P Kumar, SM White, K Stovall, J Dowell… - Monthly Notices of the …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
Efforts are underway to use high-precision timing of pulsars in order to detect low-frequency
gravitational waves. A limit to this technique is the timing noise generated by dispersion in …

Solar Polar Flux Redistribution Based on Observed Coronal Holes

SJ Schonfeld, CJ Henney, SI Jones… - The Astrophysical …, 2022 - iopscience.iop.org
We explore the use of observed polar coronal holes (CHs) to constrain the flux distribution
within the polar regions of global solar magnetic field maps in the absence of reliable quality …

Quantitative comparison of variational and sequential data assimilation techniques for one-dimensional initial-value problems of ideal MHD

JH Arnal, CPT Groth - Computers & Fluids, 2024 - Elsevier
State-of-the-art predictions of the solar-wind and space weather phenomena are today
largely based on the equations of magnetohydrodynamics (MHD). Despite their …

Adjusting the Potential Field Source Surface Height Based on Magnetohydrodynamic Simulations

Z Huang, G Tóth, J Huang, N Sachdeva… - The Astrophysical …, 2024 - iopscience.iop.org
A potential field solution is widely used to extrapolate the coronal magnetic field above the
Sun's surface to a certain height. This model applies the current-free approximation and …

Research on the effect of data assimilation for three‐dimensional MHD simulation of solar wind

H Zhang, F Shen, Y Yang - Space Weather, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
As an important part of space weather forecasting, the prediction of solar wind parameters in
the near‐Earth space is particularly significant. The introduction of data assimilation (DA) …

A New Method Linking the Solar Wind Speed to the Coronal Magnetic Field

M Casti, CN Arge, A Bemporad, RF Pinto… - The Astrophysical …, 2023 - iopscience.iop.org
The release and acceleration of the solar wind is still an outstanding question. There are
several aspects related to this phenomenon that still need to be investigated, and one of …