The scale of predictability

FM Bandi, B Perron, A Tamoni, C Tebaldi - Journal of Econometrics, 2019 - Elsevier
We introduce a new stylized fact: the hump-shaped behavior of slopes and coefficients of
determination as a function of the aggregation horizon when running (forward/backward) …

A new approach to risk-return trade-off dynamics via decomposition

DT Frazier, X Liu - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2016 - Elsevier
This paper revisits the puzzling time series relation between risk premium and conditional
volatility by proposing a flexible risk-return trade-off that allows for a variety of possible …

Investor sentiment and the risk-return tradeoff

MM Amiri, K Naoui, A Derbali… - International Journal of …, 2020 - World Scientific
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the risk-return tradeoff allowing for the presence
of noise traders, ie, a subset of investors who either base their trading strategies on …

Measuring ambiguity aversion

AR Gallant, MR Jahan-Parvar, H Liu - 2015 - papers.ssrn.com
We confront the generalized recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences of Klibanoff,
Marinacci, and Mukerji (2005, 2009) with data using Bayesian methods introduced by …

Econometric analysis of financial derivatives: An overview

CL Chang, M McAleer - Journal of Econometrics, 2015 - Elsevier
One of the fastest growing areas in empirical finance, and also one of the least rigorously
analyzed, especially from a financial econometrics perspective, is the econometric analysis …

Nonlinear dynamics in conditional volatility

F Lorenz, K Schmedders… - Proceedings of Paris …, 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
Investors pay a substantial premium to hedge against fluctuations in volatility—the variance
risk premium (VRP). The asset-pricing literature has presented numerous models with jumps …

Dynamics of variance risk premia: A new model for disentangling the price of risk

JVK Rombouts, L Stentoft, F Violante - Journal of Econometrics, 2020 - Elsevier
This paper formulates a new dynamic model for the variance risk premium based on a state
space representation of a bivariate system for the observable ex-post realized variance and …

Generalized disappointment aversion and the variance term structure

M Babiak - Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2024 - cambridge.org
Contrary to leading asset pricing theories, recent empirical evidence indicates that financial
markets compensate only short-term equity variance risk. An equilibrium model with …

High-frequency tail risk premium and stock return predictability

C Almeida, K Ardison, G Freire, R Garcia… - Journal of Financial …, 2024 - cambridge.org
We propose a novel measure of the market return tail risk premium based on minimum-
distance state price densities recovered from high-frequency data. The tail risk premium …

Dynamic deconvolution and identification of independent autoregressive sources

C Gourieroux, J Jasiak - Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
We consider a multi‐variate system Y t= AX t, where the unobserved components X t are
independent AR (1) processes and the number of sources is greater than the number of …