The scale of predictability
We introduce a new stylized fact: the hump-shaped behavior of slopes and coefficients of
determination as a function of the aggregation horizon when running (forward/backward) …
determination as a function of the aggregation horizon when running (forward/backward) …
A new approach to risk-return trade-off dynamics via decomposition
This paper revisits the puzzling time series relation between risk premium and conditional
volatility by proposing a flexible risk-return trade-off that allows for a variety of possible …
volatility by proposing a flexible risk-return trade-off that allows for a variety of possible …
Investor sentiment and the risk-return tradeoff
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the risk-return tradeoff allowing for the presence
of noise traders, ie, a subset of investors who either base their trading strategies on …
of noise traders, ie, a subset of investors who either base their trading strategies on …
Measuring ambiguity aversion
We confront the generalized recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences of Klibanoff,
Marinacci, and Mukerji (2005, 2009) with data using Bayesian methods introduced by …
Marinacci, and Mukerji (2005, 2009) with data using Bayesian methods introduced by …
Econometric analysis of financial derivatives: An overview
One of the fastest growing areas in empirical finance, and also one of the least rigorously
analyzed, especially from a financial econometrics perspective, is the econometric analysis …
analyzed, especially from a financial econometrics perspective, is the econometric analysis …
Nonlinear dynamics in conditional volatility
F Lorenz, K Schmedders… - Proceedings of Paris …, 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
Investors pay a substantial premium to hedge against fluctuations in volatility—the variance
risk premium (VRP). The asset-pricing literature has presented numerous models with jumps …
risk premium (VRP). The asset-pricing literature has presented numerous models with jumps …
Dynamics of variance risk premia: A new model for disentangling the price of risk
This paper formulates a new dynamic model for the variance risk premium based on a state
space representation of a bivariate system for the observable ex-post realized variance and …
space representation of a bivariate system for the observable ex-post realized variance and …
Generalized disappointment aversion and the variance term structure
M Babiak - Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2024 - cambridge.org
Contrary to leading asset pricing theories, recent empirical evidence indicates that financial
markets compensate only short-term equity variance risk. An equilibrium model with …
markets compensate only short-term equity variance risk. An equilibrium model with …
High-frequency tail risk premium and stock return predictability
We propose a novel measure of the market return tail risk premium based on minimum-
distance state price densities recovered from high-frequency data. The tail risk premium …
distance state price densities recovered from high-frequency data. The tail risk premium …
Dynamic deconvolution and identification of independent autoregressive sources
C Gourieroux, J Jasiak - Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
We consider a multi‐variate system Y t= AX t, where the unobserved components X t are
independent AR (1) processes and the number of sources is greater than the number of …
independent AR (1) processes and the number of sources is greater than the number of …