The basic reproduction number (R0) of measles: a systematic review
FM Guerra, S Bolotin, G Lim, J Heffernan… - The Lancet Infectious …, 2017 - thelancet.com
The basic reproduction number, R nought (R 0), is defined as the average number of
secondary cases of an infectious disease arising from a typical case in a totally susceptible …
secondary cases of an infectious disease arising from a typical case in a totally susceptible …
Riemann manifold langevin and hamiltonian monte carlo methods
The paper proposes Metropolis adjusted Langevin and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampling
methods defined on the Riemann manifold to resolve the shortcomings of existing Monte …
methods defined on the Riemann manifold to resolve the shortcomings of existing Monte …
Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)
Estimation of the prevalence and contagiousness of undocumented novel coronavirus
[severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)] infections is critical for …
[severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)] infections is critical for …
Impact of temperature on the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China
A COVID-19 outbreak emerged in Wuhan, China at the end of 2019 and developed into a
global pandemic during March 2020. The effects of temperature on the dynamics of the …
global pandemic during March 2020. The effects of temperature on the dynamics of the …
Quantifying asymptomatic infection and transmission of COVID-19 in New York City using observed cases, serology, and testing capacity
R Subramanian, Q He… - Proceedings of the …, 2021 - National Acad Sciences
The contributions of asymptomatic infections to herd immunity and community transmission
are key to the resurgence and control of COVID-19, but are difficult to estimate using current …
are key to the resurgence and control of COVID-19, but are difficult to estimate using current …
Particle markov chain monte carlo methods
Summary Markov chain Monte Carlo and sequential Monte Carlo methods have emerged as
the two main tools to sample from high dimensional probability distributions. Although …
the two main tools to sample from high dimensional probability distributions. Although …
Prevention and control of Zika as a mosquito-borne and sexually transmitted disease: a mathematical modeling analysis
The ongoing Zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic in the Americas poses a major global public health
emergency. While ZIKV is transmitted from human to human by bites of Aedes mosquitoes …
emergency. While ZIKV is transmitted from human to human by bites of Aedes mosquitoes …
The impact of temperature and absolute humidity on the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak-evidence from China
P Shi, Y Dong, H Yan, X Li, C Zhao, W Liu, M He… - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To investigate the impact of temperature and absolute humidity on
the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak. DESIGN Ecological study. SETTING 31 …
the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak. DESIGN Ecological study. SETTING 31 …
Statistical inference for partially observed Markov processes via the R package pomp
Partially observed Markov process (POMP) models, also known as hidden Markov models
or state space models, are ubiquitous tools for time series analysis. The R package pomp …
or state space models, are ubiquitous tools for time series analysis. The R package pomp …
Forecasting seasonal outbreaks of influenza
J Shaman, A Karspeck - Proceedings of the National …, 2012 - National Acad Sciences
Influenza recurs seasonally in temperate regions of the world; however, our ability to predict
the timing, duration, and magnitude of local seasonal outbreaks of influenza remains limited …
the timing, duration, and magnitude of local seasonal outbreaks of influenza remains limited …