[HTML][HTML] Statistical postprocessing for weather forecasts: Review, challenges, and avenues in a big data world

S Vannitsem, JB Bremnes, J Demaeyer… - Bulletin of the …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Statistical postprocessing techniques are nowadays key components of the forecasting
suites in many national meteorological services (NMS), with, for most of them, the objective …

Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting

J Nowotarski, R Weron - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2018 - Elsevier
Since the inception of competitive power markets two decades ago, electricity price
forecasting (EPF) has gradually become a fundamental process for energy companies' …

Neural networks for postprocessing ensemble weather forecasts

S Rasp, S Lerch - Monthly Weather Review, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
Ensemble weather predictions require statistical postprocessing of systematic errors to
obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with …

Wind power generation: A review and a research agenda

SA Vargas, GRT Esteves, PM Maçaira… - Journal of Cleaner …, 2019 - Elsevier
The use of renewable energy resources, especially wind power, is receiving strong attention
from governments and private institutions, since it is considered one of the best and most …

Fusion of probability density functions

G Koliander, Y El-Laham, PM Djurić… - Proceedings of the …, 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Fusing probabilistic information is a fundamental task in signal and data processing with
relevance to many fields of technology and science. In this work, we investigate the fusion of …

Machine learning methods for postprocessing ensemble forecasts of wind gusts: A systematic comparison

B Schulz, S Lerch - Monthly Weather Review, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Postprocessing ensemble weather predictions to correct systematic errors has become a
standard practice in research and operations. However, only a few recent studies have …

Probabilistic solar power forecasting using bayesian model averaging

K Doubleday, S Jascourt, W Kleiber… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
There is rising interest in probabilistic forecasting to mitigate risks from solar power
uncertainty, but the numerical weather prediction (NWP) ensembles readily available to …

A novel dynamic ensemble of numerical weather prediction for multi-step wind speed forecasting with deep reinforcement learning and error sequence modeling

J Zhao, Y Guo, Y Lin, Z Zhao, Z Guo - Energy, 2024 - Elsevier
Accurate wind forecasts for one day ahead or longer periods have significant impacts on the
safe and efficient dispatch of power grids, where Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) …

A multi-model combination approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting

Y Lin, M Yang, C Wan, J Wang… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting can provide critical quantified uncertainty
information of wind generation for power system operation and control. It would be difficult to …

Ensemble postprocessing using quantile function regression based on neural networks and Bernstein polynomials

JB Bremnes - Monthly Weather Review, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
The value of ensemble forecasts is well documented. However, postprocessing by statistical
methods is usually required to make forecasts reliable in a probabilistic sense. In this work a …