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[HTML][HTML] Connections of climate change and variability to large and extreme forest fires in southeast Australia
Abstract The 2019/20 Black Summer bushfire disaster in southeast Australia was
unprecedented: the extensive area of forest burnt, the radiative power of the fires, and the …
unprecedented: the extensive area of forest burnt, the radiative power of the fires, and the …
Climate change and the global redistribution of biodiversity: substantial variation in empirical support for expected range shifts
Background Among the most widely predicted climate change-related impacts to biodiversity
are geographic range shifts, whereby species shift their spatial distribution to track their …
are geographic range shifts, whereby species shift their spatial distribution to track their …
[HTML][HTML] Extreme weather impacts of climate change: an attribution perspective
Extreme event attribution aims to elucidate the link between global climate change, extreme
weather events, and the harms experienced on the ground by people, property, and nature …
weather events, and the harms experienced on the ground by people, property, and nature …
300 years of sclerosponge thermometry shows global warming has exceeded 1.5 C
Anthropogenic emissions drive global-scale warming yet the temperature increase relative
to pre-industrial levels is uncertain. Using 300 years of ocean mixed-layer temperature …
to pre-industrial levels is uncertain. Using 300 years of ocean mixed-layer temperature …
Climate impacts on global agriculture emerge earlier in new generation of climate and crop models
Potential climate-related impacts on future crop yield are a major societal concern. Previous
projections of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project's Global …
projections of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project's Global …
[HTML][HTML] Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
Partitioning uncertainty in projections of future climate change into contributions from
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …
Framing, Context, and Methods (Chapter 1)
Working Group I (WGI) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assesses
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …
Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
Over the last decade, the world warmed by 0.25° C, in-line with the roughly linear trend
since the 1970s. Here we present updated analyses showing that this seemingly small shift …
since the 1970s. Here we present updated analyses showing that this seemingly small shift …
Highest ocean heat in four centuries places Great Barrier Reef in danger
Mass coral bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) in Australia between 2016 and 2024
was driven by high sea surface temperatures (SST). The likelihood of temperature-induced …
was driven by high sea surface temperatures (SST). The likelihood of temperature-induced …
Global surface air temperatures in CMIP6: Historical performance and future changes
Surface air temperature outputs from 16 global climate models participating in the sixth
phase of the coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP6) were used to evaluate …
phase of the coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP6) were used to evaluate …