Etsformer: Exponential smoothing transformers for time-series forecasting

G Woo, C Liu, D Sahoo, A Kumar, S Hoi - arxiv preprint arxiv:2202.01381, 2022 - arxiv.org
Transformers have been actively studied for time-series forecasting in recent years. While
often showing promising results in various scenarios, traditional Transformers are not …

Mega: moving average equipped gated attention

X Ma, C Zhou, X Kong, J He, L Gui, G Neubig… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2022 - arxiv.org
The design choices in the Transformer attention mechanism, including weak inductive bias
and quadratic computational complexity, have limited its application for modeling long …

Reinforcement learning framework for freight demand forecasting to support operational planning decisions

LAH Hassan, HS Mahmassani, Y Chen - Transportation Research Part E …, 2020 - Elsevier
Freight forecasting is essential for managing, planning operating and optimizing the use of
resources. Multiple market factors contribute to the highly variable nature of freight flows …

Hydrological time series forecasting using simple combinations: Big data testing and investigations on one-year ahead river flow predictability

G Papacharalampous, H Tyralis - Journal of Hydrology, 2020 - Elsevier
Delivering useful hydrological forecasts is critical for urban and agricultural water
management, hydropower generation, flood protection and management, drought mitigation …

Forecasts of sustainable consumption in small economies

R Kontautienė, T Stravinskas… - Journal of international …, 2024 - ceeol.com
Sustainable consumption is becoming an increasingly important aspect of our consumer
society. The scarcity of natural resources is a growing concern in many countries …

Time Series Forecasting with Statistical, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning Methods: Past, Present, and Future

E Spiliotis - Forecasting with Artificial Intelligence: Theory and …, 2023 - Springer
Time series forecasting covers a wide range of methods extending from exponential
smoothing and ARIMA models to sophisticated machine learning ones, such as neural …

[HTML][HTML] Massive feature extraction for explaining and foretelling hydroclimatic time series forecastability at the global scale

G Papacharalampous, H Tyralis, IG Pechlivanidis… - Geoscience …, 2022 - Elsevier
Statistical analyses and descriptive characterizations are sometimes assumed to be offering
information on time series forecastability. Despite the scientific interest suggested by such …

[HTML][HTML] Local and global trend Bayesian exponential smoothing models

S Smyl, C Bergmeir, A Dokumentov, X Long… - International Journal of …, 2025 - Elsevier
This paper describes a family of seasonal and non-seasonal time series models that can be
viewed as generalisations of additive and multiplicative exponential smoothing models to …

Spatiotemporal forecasting of water change trends in Urmia Lake through to 2030, using STC-based models

H Ahmadi, BS Mousavi, M Argany… - Hydrological …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
The purpose of this paper is to forecast the spatiotemporal water change trends in Urmia
Lake through 2030. Three space–time cube-based models were applied. The forest-based …

Assessment of the Black Sea Grain Initiative: Crisis Management via Maritime Transportation

G Ekleme, F Yercan - Transport Policy, 2025 - Elsevier
After the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, an agreement regarding the export of grains
produced in these countries has been signed. Consequently, the export of grains from Black …