Towards scientific forecasting of magmatic eruptions

V Acocella, M Ripepe, E Rivalta, A Peltier… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2024 - nature.com
Forecasting eruptions is a fundamental goal of volcanology. However, difficulties in
identifying eruptive precursors, fragmented approaches and lack of resources make eruption …

Recent advances in characterizing the crustal stress field and future applications of stress data: perspectives from North America

JE Lundstern - 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
The stress field controls patterns of crustal deformation, including which faults are likeliest to
cause earthquakes or transmit fluids. Since the 1950s, maps of maximum horizontal stress …

Volcano geodesy using InSAR in 2020: the past and next decades

MP Poland, HA Zebker - Bulletin of Volcanology, 2022 - Springer
The study of volcano deformation has grown significantly through they year 2020 since the
development of interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) in the 1990s. This relatively …

Trapdoor fault activation: A step toward caldera collapse at Sierra Negra, Galápagos, Ecuador

T Shreve, F Delgado - Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The 2018 Sierra Negra eruption resulted in meter‐scale subsidence due to basaltic
magma extraction from a deflating reservoir. The eruption was also characterized by dike …

Constraints on the 2013 Saravan intraslab earthquake using permanent GNSS, InSAR and seismic data

M Amiri, A Walpersdorf, Z Mousavi… - Geophysical Journal …, 2024 - academic.oup.com
On 16 April 2013, an M w= 7.7 earthquake struck the border of Iran and Pakistan in the
central part of the Makran subduction zone with a reported depth of 80 km by USGS. This …

Mechanical modeling of pre‐eruptive magma propagation scenarios at calderas

L Mantiloni, E Rivalta, T Davis - Journal of Geophysical …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Simulating magma propagation pathways requires both a well‐calibrated model for the
stress state of the volcano and models for dike advance within such a stress field. Here, we …

Magmatic connectivity among six Galápagos volcanoes revealed by satellite geodesy

E Reddin, SK Ebmeier, E Rivalta, M Bagnardi… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Shallow magmatic reservoirs that produce measurable volcanic surface deformation are
often considered as discrete independent systems. However, petrological analyses of …

Modeling the shape and velocity of magmatic intrusions, a new numerical approach

S Furst, F Maccaferri, V Pinel - Journal of Geophysical …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Dykes are magma‐filled fractures propagating through the brittle crust. Understanding the
physics of dyking process is essential to mitigate the volcanic hazard associated with the …

Implications for shallow magma transfer during the 2017 and 2018 eruptions at Fernandina (Galápagos) inferred from InSAR data

F Galetto, D Reale, E Sansosti… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Previous work at Fernandina, the most active volcano of the Western Galápagos (Ecuador),
revealed evidence for both a shallow and a deep magma reservoir, but the relative …

Physics‐based forecasts of eruptive vent locations at calderas

L Mantiloni, E Rivalta, KR Anderson… - Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Constraining stresses in the Earth's crust in volcanic regions is critical for understanding
many mechanical processes related to eruptive activity. Dike pathways, in particular, are …