While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

Aftershocks can compound the impacts of a major earthquake, disrupting recovery efforts
and potentially further damaging weakened buildings and infrastructure. Forecasts of the …

The earthquake size distribution is described by an exponential function governed by the b-
value parameter. It has already been proven that the b-value depends on the differential …

Forecasting the timing of earthquakes is a long-standing challenge. Moreover, it is still
debated how to formulate this problem in a useful manner, or to compare the predictive …

The majority of earthquakes occur unexpectedly and can trigger subsequent sequences of
events that can culminate in more powerful earthquakes. This self-exciting nature of …

Unraveling the precursory signals of potentially destructive earthquakes is crucial to
understand the Earth's crust dynamics and to provide reliable seismic warnings. Earthquake …

The evaluation of the b value of the Gutenberg–Richter (GR) law, for a sample composed of
n earthquakes, presents a systematic positive bias δ b which is proportional to 1/n. In this …

We propose two methods to calibrate the parameters of the epidemic‐type aftershock
sequence (ETAS) model based on expectation maximization (EM) while accounting for …

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), as a tool to assess the probability that ground
motion of a given intensity or larger is experienced at a given site and time span, has …

The elaboration of reliable forecasting in the first hours after large shocks, very useful for the
postseismic management, is strongly affected by the huge incompleteness of seismic …