An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence
We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …
Emergent constraints on climate sensitivities
Despite major advances in climate science over the last 30 years, persistent uncertainties in
projections of future climate change remain. Climate projections are produced with …
projections of future climate change remain. Climate projections are produced with …
[HTML][HTML] Emergent constraints on equilibrium climate sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6?
M Schlund, A Lauer, P Gentine… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
An important metric for temperature projections is the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS),
which is defined as the global mean surface air temperature change caused by a doubling …
which is defined as the global mean surface air temperature change caused by a doubling …
On structural errors in emergent constraints
Studies of emergent constraints have frequently proposed that a single metric alone can
constrain future responses of the Earth system to anthropogenic emissions. The prevalence …
constrain future responses of the Earth system to anthropogenic emissions. The prevalence …
[책][B] The climate Demon: Past, present, and future of climate prediction
R Saravanan - 2021 - books.google.com
Climate predictions-and the computer models behind them-play a key role in sha** public
opinion and our response to the climate crisis. Some people interpret these predictions as' …
opinion and our response to the climate crisis. Some people interpret these predictions as' …
Revisiting a constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from a last millennium perspective
Despite decades of effort to constrain equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), current best
estimates still exhibit a large spread. Past studies have sought to reduce ECS uncertainty …
estimates still exhibit a large spread. Past studies have sought to reduce ECS uncertainty …
Theoretical foundations of emergent constraints: relationships between climate sensitivity and global temperature variability in conceptual models
Background The emergent constraint approach has received interest recently as a way of
utilizing multi-model General Circulation Model (GCM) ensembles to identify relationships …
utilizing multi-model General Circulation Model (GCM) ensembles to identify relationships …
Cox et al. reply
Uncertainty in equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) can potentially be narrowed by using an
emergent constraint that relates a currently observable variable to climate-model-simulated …
emergent constraint that relates a currently observable variable to climate-model-simulated …
Testing the assumptions in emergent constraints: why does the “emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability” work for …
It has been shown that a theoretically derived relation between annual global mean
temperature variability and climate sensitivity held in the CMIP5 climate model ensemble …
temperature variability and climate sensitivity held in the CMIP5 climate model ensemble …
What could we learn about climate sensitivity from variability in the surface temperature record?
We examine what can be learnt about climate sensitivity from variability in the surface air
temperature record over the instrumental period, from around 1880 to the present. While …
temperature record over the instrumental period, from around 1880 to the present. While …