[HTML][HTML] Can the COVID-19 pandemic and oil prices drive the US partisan conflict index?

E Apergis, N Apergis - Energy Research Letters, 2020 - erl.scholasticahq.com
This paper investigates the effect of the COVID-19 and oil prices on the US partisan conflict.
Using daily data on world COVID-19 and oil prices, monthly data on the US Partisan Conflict …

Risk everywhere: Modeling and managing volatility

T Bollerslev, B Hood, J Huss… - The Review of Financial …, 2018 - academic.oup.com
Based on high-frequency data for more than fifty commodities, currencies, equity indices,
and fixed-income instruments spanning more than two decades, we document strong …

Machine learning time series regressions with an application to nowcasting

A Babii, E Ghysels, J Striaukas - Journal of Business & Economic …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
This article introduces structured machine learning regressions for high-dimensional time
series data potentially sampled at different frequencies. The sparse-group LASSO estimator …

Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis

C Foroni, M Marcellino, D Stevanovic - International Journal of Forecasting, 2022 - Elsevier
We consider simple methods to improve the growth nowcasts and forecasts obtained by
mixed-frequency MIDAS and UMIDAS models with a variety of indicators during the Covid …

Real-time forecasting with a mixed-frequency VAR

F Schorfheide, D Song - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
This article develops a vector autoregression (VAR) for time series which are observed at
mixed frequencies—quarterly and monthly. The model is cast in state-space form and …

Macroeconomics and the reality of mixed frequency data

E Ghysels - Journal of Econometrics, 2016 - Elsevier
Many time series are sampled at different frequencies. When we study co-movements
between such series we usually analyze the joint process sampled at a common low …

Forecasting with economic news

L Barbaglia, S Consoli, S Manzan - Journal of Business & …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
The goal of this article is to evaluate the informational content of sentiment extracted from
news articles about the state of the economy. We propose a fine-grained aspect-based …

A novel mixed frequency sampling discrete grey model for forecasting hard disk drive failure

R Chen, X **ao, M Gao, Q Ding - ISA transactions, 2024 - Elsevier
The mixed data sampling (MIDAS) model has attracted increasing attention due to its
outstanding performance in dealing with mixed frequency data. However, most MIDAS …

[PDF][PDF] Big data & macroeconomic nowcasting: Methodological review

G Kapetanios, F Papailias - Economic …, 2018 - escoe-website.s3.amazonaws.com
This paper is concerned with an introduction to big data which can be potentially used in
nowcasting the UK GDP and other key macroeconomic variables. We discuss various big …

A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data

C Foroni, MG Marcellino - Available at SSRN 2268912, 2013 - papers.ssrn.com
The development of models for variables sampled at different frequencies has attracted
substantial interest in the recent econometric literature. In this paper we provide an overview …