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[HTML][HTML] Can the COVID-19 pandemic and oil prices drive the US partisan conflict index?
This paper investigates the effect of the COVID-19 and oil prices on the US partisan conflict.
Using daily data on world COVID-19 and oil prices, monthly data on the US Partisan Conflict …
Using daily data on world COVID-19 and oil prices, monthly data on the US Partisan Conflict …
Risk everywhere: Modeling and managing volatility
Based on high-frequency data for more than fifty commodities, currencies, equity indices,
and fixed-income instruments spanning more than two decades, we document strong …
and fixed-income instruments spanning more than two decades, we document strong …
Machine learning time series regressions with an application to nowcasting
This article introduces structured machine learning regressions for high-dimensional time
series data potentially sampled at different frequencies. The sparse-group LASSO estimator …
series data potentially sampled at different frequencies. The sparse-group LASSO estimator …
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis
We consider simple methods to improve the growth nowcasts and forecasts obtained by
mixed-frequency MIDAS and UMIDAS models with a variety of indicators during the Covid …
mixed-frequency MIDAS and UMIDAS models with a variety of indicators during the Covid …
Real-time forecasting with a mixed-frequency VAR
This article develops a vector autoregression (VAR) for time series which are observed at
mixed frequencies—quarterly and monthly. The model is cast in state-space form and …
mixed frequencies—quarterly and monthly. The model is cast in state-space form and …
Macroeconomics and the reality of mixed frequency data
E Ghysels - Journal of Econometrics, 2016 - Elsevier
Many time series are sampled at different frequencies. When we study co-movements
between such series we usually analyze the joint process sampled at a common low …
between such series we usually analyze the joint process sampled at a common low …
Forecasting with economic news
The goal of this article is to evaluate the informational content of sentiment extracted from
news articles about the state of the economy. We propose a fine-grained aspect-based …
news articles about the state of the economy. We propose a fine-grained aspect-based …
A novel mixed frequency sampling discrete grey model for forecasting hard disk drive failure
R Chen, X **ao, M Gao, Q Ding - ISA transactions, 2024 - Elsevier
The mixed data sampling (MIDAS) model has attracted increasing attention due to its
outstanding performance in dealing with mixed frequency data. However, most MIDAS …
outstanding performance in dealing with mixed frequency data. However, most MIDAS …
[PDF][PDF] Big data & macroeconomic nowcasting: Methodological review
This paper is concerned with an introduction to big data which can be potentially used in
nowcasting the UK GDP and other key macroeconomic variables. We discuss various big …
nowcasting the UK GDP and other key macroeconomic variables. We discuss various big …
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data
The development of models for variables sampled at different frequencies has attracted
substantial interest in the recent econometric literature. In this paper we provide an overview …
substantial interest in the recent econometric literature. In this paper we provide an overview …