ARIMA-based forecasting of the dynamics of confirmed Covid-19 cases for selected European countries

T Kufel - Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and …, 2020 - ceeol.com
Research background: On 11 March 2020, the Covid-19 epidemic was identified by the
World Health Organization (WHO) as a global pandemic. The rapid increase in the scale of …

[HTML][HTML] Data-driven reduced-order modeling of spatiotemporal chaos with neural ordinary differential equations

AJ Linot, MD Graham - Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear …, 2022 - pubs.aip.org
Dissipative partial differential equations that exhibit chaotic dynamics tend to evolve to
attractors that exist on finite-dimensional manifolds. We present a data-driven reduced-order …

[PDF][PDF] Differential equation models for infectious diseases: Mathematical modeling, qualitative analysis, numerical methods and applications

MT Hoang, M Ehrhardt - 2024 - imacm.uni-wuppertal.de
Mathematical epidemiology has a long history of origin and development. In particular,
mathematical modeling and analysis of infectious diseases has become a fundamental and …

Optimal control of spatial diseases spreading in networked reaction–diffusion systems

GQ Sun, R He, LF Hou, X Luo, S Gao, L Chang… - Physics Reports, 2025 - Elsevier
Infectious diseases have long been acknowledged as significant public health menaces by
both the general public and health authorities, emphatically underscoring the crucial …

Dynamics of diseases spreading on networks in the forms of reaction-diffusion systems

GQ Sun, R He, LF Hou, S Gao, X Luo, Q Liu… - Europhysics …, 2024 - iopscience.iop.org
In the face of persistent threats posed by infectious diseases, despite remarkable medical
advancements, understanding and efficiently controlling their spatial spread through …

[HTML][HTML] Law of mass action and saturation in SIR model with application to Coronavirus modelling

T Kolokolnikov, D Iron - Infectious Disease Modelling, 2021 - Elsevier
When using SIR and related models, it is common to assume that the infection rate is
proportional to the product of susceptible and infected individuals. While this assumption …

A rigorous theoretical and numerical analysis of a nonlinear reaction-diffusion epidemic model pertaining dynamics of COVID-19

L Wang, AA Khan, S Ullah, N Haider, SA AlQahtani… - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
The spatial movement of the human population from one region to another and the
existence of super-spreaders are the main factors that enhanced the disease incidence …

On degenerate reaction-diffusion epidemic models with mass action or standard incidence mechanism

RB Salako, Y Wu - European Journal of Applied Mathematics, 2024 - cambridge.org
In this paper, we consider reaction-diffusion epidemic models with mass action or standard
incidence mechanism and study the impact of limiting population movement on disease …

Optimal control of a diffusive epidemiological model involving the Caputo-Fabrizio fractional time-derivative

A Zinihi, MRS Ammi, M Ehrhardt - arxiv preprint arxiv:2403.00364, 2024 - arxiv.org
In this work we study a fractional SEIR biological model of a reaction-diffusion, using the non-
singular kernel Caputo-Fabrizio fractional derivative in the Caputo sense and employing the …

[HTML][HTML] Using epidemiological models to predict the spread of information on twitter

M Castiello, D Conte, S Iscaro - Algorithms, 2023 - mdpi.com
In this article, we analyze the spread of information on social media (Twitter) and purpose a
strategy based on epidemiological models. It is well known that social media represent a …