Fifty years of research on the Madden‐Julian Oscillation: Recent progress, challenges, and perspectives

X Jiang, ÁF Adames, D Kim… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Since its discovery in the early 1970s, the crucial role of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation
(MJO) in the global hydrological cycle and its tremendous influence on high‐impact climate …

Status and prospects for drought forecasting: Opportunities in artificial intelligence and hybrid physical–statistical forecasting

A AghaKouchak, B Pan… - … of the Royal …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Despite major improvements in weather and climate modelling and substantial increases in
remotely sensed observations, drought prediction remains a major challenge. After a review …

Windows of opportunity for skillful forecasts subseasonal to seasonal and beyond

A Mariotti, C Baggett, EA Barnes… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
There is high demand and a growing expectation for predictions of environmental conditions
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …

Atmospheric river tracking method intercomparison project (ARTMIP): Project goals and experimental design

CA Shields, JJ Rutz, LY Leung… - Geoscientific Model …, 2018 - gmd.copernicus.org
The Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP) is an
international collaborative effort to understand and quantify the uncertainties in atmospheric …

Stratospheric drivers of extreme events at the Earth's surface

DIV Domeisen, AH Butler - Communications Earth & Environment, 2020 - nature.com
The stratosphere, the layer of the atmosphere at heights between 10-50 km, is an important
source of variability for the weather and climate at the Earth's surface on timescales of weeks …

The influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation on the Madden–Julian oscillation

Z Martin, SW Son, A Butler, H Hendon, H Kim… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
The stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and the tropospheric Madden–Julian
oscillation (MJO) are strongly linked in boreal winter. In this Review, we synthesize …

Subseasonal forecasts of opportunity identified by an explainable neural network

KJ Mayer, EA Barnes - Geophysical Research Letters, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Midlatitude prediction on subseasonal timescales is difficult due to the chaotic nature of the
atmosphere and often requires the identification of favorable atmospheric conditions that …

Ocean fronts and eddies force atmospheric rivers and heavy precipitation in western North America

X Liu, X Ma, P Chang, Y Jia, D Fu, G Xu, L Wu… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are responsible for over 90% of poleward water vapor transport in
the mid-latitudes and can produce extreme precipitation when making landfall. However …

Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction

WJ Merryfield, J Baehr, L Batté… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Weather and climate variations on subseasonal to decadal time scales can have enormous
social, economic, and environmental impacts, making skillful predictions on these time …

Global precipitation hindcast quality assessment of the Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models

FM De Andrade, CAS Coelho, IFA Cavalcanti - Climate Dynamics, 2019 - Springer
This study assessed subseasonal global precipitation hindcast quality from all Subseasonal
to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models. Deterministic forecast quality of weekly …