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Fifty years of research on the Madden‐Julian Oscillation: Recent progress, challenges, and perspectives
Since its discovery in the early 1970s, the crucial role of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation
(MJO) in the global hydrological cycle and its tremendous influence on high‐impact climate …
(MJO) in the global hydrological cycle and its tremendous influence on high‐impact climate …
Status and prospects for drought forecasting: Opportunities in artificial intelligence and hybrid physical–statistical forecasting
Despite major improvements in weather and climate modelling and substantial increases in
remotely sensed observations, drought prediction remains a major challenge. After a review …
remotely sensed observations, drought prediction remains a major challenge. After a review …
Windows of opportunity for skillful forecasts subseasonal to seasonal and beyond
There is high demand and a growing expectation for predictions of environmental conditions
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …
Atmospheric river tracking method intercomparison project (ARTMIP): Project goals and experimental design
The Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP) is an
international collaborative effort to understand and quantify the uncertainties in atmospheric …
international collaborative effort to understand and quantify the uncertainties in atmospheric …
Stratospheric drivers of extreme events at the Earth's surface
The stratosphere, the layer of the atmosphere at heights between 10-50 km, is an important
source of variability for the weather and climate at the Earth's surface on timescales of weeks …
source of variability for the weather and climate at the Earth's surface on timescales of weeks …
The influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation on the Madden–Julian oscillation
The stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and the tropospheric Madden–Julian
oscillation (MJO) are strongly linked in boreal winter. In this Review, we synthesize …
oscillation (MJO) are strongly linked in boreal winter. In this Review, we synthesize …
Subseasonal forecasts of opportunity identified by an explainable neural network
Midlatitude prediction on subseasonal timescales is difficult due to the chaotic nature of the
atmosphere and often requires the identification of favorable atmospheric conditions that …
atmosphere and often requires the identification of favorable atmospheric conditions that …
Ocean fronts and eddies force atmospheric rivers and heavy precipitation in western North America
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are responsible for over 90% of poleward water vapor transport in
the mid-latitudes and can produce extreme precipitation when making landfall. However …
the mid-latitudes and can produce extreme precipitation when making landfall. However …
Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction
WJ Merryfield, J Baehr, L Batté… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Weather and climate variations on subseasonal to decadal time scales can have enormous
social, economic, and environmental impacts, making skillful predictions on these time …
social, economic, and environmental impacts, making skillful predictions on these time …
Global precipitation hindcast quality assessment of the Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models
This study assessed subseasonal global precipitation hindcast quality from all Subseasonal
to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models. Deterministic forecast quality of weekly …
to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models. Deterministic forecast quality of weekly …