Earthquake fault systems interact over a broad spectrum of spatial and temporal scales and,
in recent years, studies of the regional seismicity in a variety of regions have produced a …

Abstract Models for forecasting earthquakes are currently tested prospectively in well-
organized testing centers, using data collected after the models and their parameters are …

This paper gives the technical solutions of implementing the space-time epidemic-type
aftershock sequence (ETAS) model for short-term (1-day) earthquake forecasts for the all …

An approximation technique is introduced that greatly facilitates the estimation of the
epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model introduced by, which is widely used to …

The 2016 January 25 earthquake (M w 6.3) follows in sequence from the1994 May 26
earthquake (M w 6.0) and the 2004 February 24 earthquake (M w 6.4) in the Rif Mountains …

The reliable forecasting of seismic sequences following a main shock has practical
implications because effective post-event response is crucial in earthquake-stricken regions …

This study describes three earthquake occurrence models as applied to the whole Italian
territory, to assess the occurrence probabilities of future (M≥ 5.0) earthquakes: two as short …

Existing approaches to risk assessment in natural disasters usually suffer from information
specificity and data density. For example, road vulnerability assessment requires disaster …

Branching processes provide an accurate description of earthquake occurrence in the short
term (days to a few weeks). Yet, the implementation of these models is not usually …

In this paper, we aimed to investigate the statistical distributions of shallow earthquakes with
2≤ М≤ 4, located in 13 rectangular areas (clusters) bounded by 120° E and 144° E along …