Causal inference for time series

J Runge, A Gerhardus, G Varando, V Eyring… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Many research questions in Earth and environmental sciences are inherently causal,
requiring robust analyses to establish whether and how changes in one variable cause …

Evidence and attribution of the enhanced land carbon sink

S Ruehr, TF Keenan, C Williams, Y Zhou, X Lu… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Climate change has been partially mitigated by an increasing net land carbon sink in the
terrestrial biosphere; understanding the processes that drive this sink is thus essential for …

Future socio-ecosystem productivity threatened by compound drought–heatwave events

J Yin, P Gentine, L Slater, L Gu, Y Pokhrel… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Compound drought–heatwave (CDHW) events are one of the worst climatic stressors for
global sustainable development. However, the physical mechanisms behind CDHWs and …

Permafrost carbon emissions in a changing Arctic

KR Miner, MR Turetsky, E Malina, A Bartsch… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2022 - nature.com
Arctic permafrost stores nearly 1,700 billion metric tons of frozen and thawing carbon.
Anthropogenic warming threatens to release an unknown quantity of this carbon to the …

Recent global decline of CO2 fertilization effects on vegetation photosynthesis

S Wang, Y Zhang, W Ju, JM Chen, P Ciais, A Cescatti… - Science, 2020 - science.org
The enhanced vegetation productivity driven by increased concentrations of carbon dioxide
(CO2)[ie, the CO2 fertilization effect (CFE)] sustains an important negative feedback on …

Global water use efficiency saturation due to increased vapor pressure deficit

F Li, J **ao, J Chen, A Ballantyne, K **, B Li, M Abraha… - Science, 2023 - science.org
The ratio of carbon assimilation to water evapotranspiration (ET) of an ecosystem, referred to
as ecosystem water use efficiency (WUEeco), is widely expected to increase because of the …

High-resolution (1 km) Köppen-Geiger maps for 1901–2099 based on constrained CMIP6 projections

HE Beck, TR McVicar, N Vergopolan, A Berg… - Scientific data, 2023 - nature.com
We introduce Version 2 of our widely used 1-km Köppen-Geiger climate classification maps
for historical and future climate conditions. The historical maps (encompassing 1901–1930 …

Cross-biome synthesis of source versus sink limits to tree growth

A Cabon, SA Kannenberg, A Arain, F Babst… - Science, 2022 - science.org
Uncertainties surrounding tree carbon allocation to growth are a major limitation to
projections of forest carbon sequestration and response to climate change. The prevalence …

Spatiotemporal origin of soil water taken up by vegetation

G Miguez-Macho, Y Fan - Nature, 2021 - nature.com
Vegetation modulates Earth's water, energy and carbon cycles. How its functions might
change in the future largely depends on how it copes with droughts,,–. There is evidence …

Atmospheric dryness reduces photosynthesis along a large range of soil water deficits

Z Fu, P Ciais, IC Prentice, P Gentine… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
Both low soil water content (SWC) and high atmospheric dryness (vapor pressure deficit,
VPD) can negatively affect terrestrial gross primary production (GPP). The sensitivity of GPP …