Causal inference for time series
Many research questions in Earth and environmental sciences are inherently causal,
requiring robust analyses to establish whether and how changes in one variable cause …
requiring robust analyses to establish whether and how changes in one variable cause …
Evidence and attribution of the enhanced land carbon sink
Climate change has been partially mitigated by an increasing net land carbon sink in the
terrestrial biosphere; understanding the processes that drive this sink is thus essential for …
terrestrial biosphere; understanding the processes that drive this sink is thus essential for …
Future socio-ecosystem productivity threatened by compound drought–heatwave events
Compound drought–heatwave (CDHW) events are one of the worst climatic stressors for
global sustainable development. However, the physical mechanisms behind CDHWs and …
global sustainable development. However, the physical mechanisms behind CDHWs and …
Permafrost carbon emissions in a changing Arctic
Arctic permafrost stores nearly 1,700 billion metric tons of frozen and thawing carbon.
Anthropogenic warming threatens to release an unknown quantity of this carbon to the …
Anthropogenic warming threatens to release an unknown quantity of this carbon to the …
Recent global decline of CO2 fertilization effects on vegetation photosynthesis
The enhanced vegetation productivity driven by increased concentrations of carbon dioxide
(CO2)[ie, the CO2 fertilization effect (CFE)] sustains an important negative feedback on …
(CO2)[ie, the CO2 fertilization effect (CFE)] sustains an important negative feedback on …
Global water use efficiency saturation due to increased vapor pressure deficit
The ratio of carbon assimilation to water evapotranspiration (ET) of an ecosystem, referred to
as ecosystem water use efficiency (WUEeco), is widely expected to increase because of the …
as ecosystem water use efficiency (WUEeco), is widely expected to increase because of the …
High-resolution (1 km) Köppen-Geiger maps for 1901–2099 based on constrained CMIP6 projections
We introduce Version 2 of our widely used 1-km Köppen-Geiger climate classification maps
for historical and future climate conditions. The historical maps (encompassing 1901–1930 …
for historical and future climate conditions. The historical maps (encompassing 1901–1930 …
Cross-biome synthesis of source versus sink limits to tree growth
Uncertainties surrounding tree carbon allocation to growth are a major limitation to
projections of forest carbon sequestration and response to climate change. The prevalence …
projections of forest carbon sequestration and response to climate change. The prevalence …
Spatiotemporal origin of soil water taken up by vegetation
Vegetation modulates Earth's water, energy and carbon cycles. How its functions might
change in the future largely depends on how it copes with droughts,,–. There is evidence …
change in the future largely depends on how it copes with droughts,,–. There is evidence …
Atmospheric dryness reduces photosynthesis along a large range of soil water deficits
Both low soil water content (SWC) and high atmospheric dryness (vapor pressure deficit,
VPD) can negatively affect terrestrial gross primary production (GPP). The sensitivity of GPP …
VPD) can negatively affect terrestrial gross primary production (GPP). The sensitivity of GPP …