A planetary boundary for green water
Green water—terrestrial precipitation, evaporation and soil moisture—is fundamental to
Earth system dynamics and is now extensively perturbed by human pressures at continental …
Earth system dynamics and is now extensively perturbed by human pressures at continental …
Our future in the Anthropocene biosphere
The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed an interconnected and tightly coupled globalized
world in rapid change. This article sets the scientific stage for understanding and responding …
world in rapid change. This article sets the scientific stage for understanding and responding …
Safe and just Earth system boundaries
The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably
linked,–, yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they …
linked,–, yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they …
Exceeding 1.5 C global warming could trigger multiple climate tip** points
Climate tip** points occur when change in a part of the climate system becomes self-
perpetuating beyond a warming threshold, leading to substantial Earth system impacts …
perpetuating beyond a warming threshold, leading to substantial Earth system impacts …
Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios
Prudent risk management requires consideration of bad-to-worst-case scenarios. Yet, for
climate change, such potential futures are poorly understood. Could anthropogenic climate …
climate change, such potential futures are poorly understood. Could anthropogenic climate …
A global assessment: can renewable energy replace fossil fuels by 2050?
Our study evaluated the effectiveness of using eight pathways in combination for a complete
to transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy by 2050. These pathways included …
to transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy by 2050. These pathways included …
Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Global carbon and other biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks
It is unequivocal that the increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4)
and nitrous oxide (N2O) since the pre-industrial period are caused by human activities. The …
and nitrous oxide (N2O) since the pre-industrial period are caused by human activities. The …
The social shortfall and ecological overshoot of nations
Previous research has shown that no country currently meets the basic needs of its residents
at a level of resource use that could be sustainably extended to all people globally. Using …
at a level of resource use that could be sustainably extended to all people globally. Using …
Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tip** cascades in a network model
Current policies and actions make it very likely, at least temporarily, to overshoot the Paris
climate targets of 1.5–< 2.0° C above pre-industrial levels. If this global warming range is …
climate targets of 1.5–< 2.0° C above pre-industrial levels. If this global warming range is …