Improving deep-learning methods for area-based traffic demand prediction via hierarchical reconciliation
Mobility services require accurate demand prediction in both space and time to effectively
manage fleet rebalancing, provide quick on-demand responses, and enable advanced ride …
manage fleet rebalancing, provide quick on-demand responses, and enable advanced ride …
[HTML][HTML] Cross-temporal probabilistic forecast reconciliation: Methodological and practical issues
Forecast reconciliation is a post-forecasting process that involves transforming a set of
incoherent forecasts into coherent forecasts which satisfy a given set of linear constraints for …
incoherent forecasts into coherent forecasts which satisfy a given set of linear constraints for …
[HTML][HTML] Cross-temporal forecast reconciliation at digital platforms with machine learning
Platform businesses operate on a digital core, and their decision-making requires high-
dimensional accurate forecast streams at different levels of cross-sectional (eg …
dimensional accurate forecast streams at different levels of cross-sectional (eg …
Improving the forecast accuracy of wind power by leveraging multiple hierarchical structure
Renewable energy generation is of utmost importance for global decarbonization.
Forecasting renewable energies, particularly wind energy, is challenging due to the inherent …
Forecasting renewable energies, particularly wind energy, is challenging due to the inherent …
[HTML][HTML] Flusion: Integrating multiple data sources for accurate influenza predictions
Over the last ten years, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has
organized an annual influenza forecasting challenge with the motivation that accurate …
organized an annual influenza forecasting challenge with the motivation that accurate …
Unified carbon emissions and market prices forecasts of the power grid
Carbon emissions and market prices forecasts of the power grid are of great importance for
all electricity traders and consumers. Both forecasts enable flexible demand scheduling …
all electricity traders and consumers. Both forecasts enable flexible demand scheduling …
Improving out-of-sample forecasts of stock price indexes with forecast reconciliation and clustering
In this paper, we propose a novel approach to improving forecasts of stock market indexes
by considering common stock prices as hierarchical time series, combining clustering with …
by considering common stock prices as hierarchical time series, combining clustering with …
[HTML][HTML] Optimal forecast reconciliation with time series selection
Forecast reconciliation ensures forecasts of time series in a hierarchy adhere to aggregation
constraints, enabling aligned decision making. While forecast reconciliation can enhance …
constraints, enabling aligned decision making. While forecast reconciliation can enhance …
Conformal Prediction for Hierarchical Data
Reconciliation has become an essential tool in multivariate point forecasting for hierarchical
time series. However, there is still a lack of understanding of the theoretical properties of …
time series. However, there is still a lack of understanding of the theoretical properties of …
Hierarchical reconciliation of convolutional gated recurrent units for unified forecasting of branched and aggregated district heating loads
X Li, S Wang, Z Chen - Energy, 2024 - Elsevier
Independent hierarchical estimations for the branched and aggregated streams of district
heating loads often conflict with each other, leading to significant uncertainties in the daily …
heating loads often conflict with each other, leading to significant uncertainties in the daily …