Improving deep-learning methods for area-based traffic demand prediction via hierarchical reconciliation

M Khalesian, A Furno, L Leclercq - Transportation research part C …, 2024 - Elsevier
Mobility services require accurate demand prediction in both space and time to effectively
manage fleet rebalancing, provide quick on-demand responses, and enable advanced ride …

[HTML][HTML] Cross-temporal probabilistic forecast reconciliation: Methodological and practical issues

D Girolimetto, G Athanasopoulos, T Di Fonzo… - International Journal of …, 2024 - Elsevier
Forecast reconciliation is a post-forecasting process that involves transforming a set of
incoherent forecasts into coherent forecasts which satisfy a given set of linear constraints for …

[HTML][HTML] Cross-temporal forecast reconciliation at digital platforms with machine learning

J Rombouts, M Ternes, I Wilms - International Journal of Forecasting, 2025 - Elsevier
Platform businesses operate on a digital core, and their decision-making requires high-
dimensional accurate forecast streams at different levels of cross-sectional (eg …

Improving the forecast accuracy of wind power by leveraging multiple hierarchical structure

L English, M Abolghasemi - Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks, 2024 - Elsevier
Renewable energy generation is of utmost importance for global decarbonization.
Forecasting renewable energies, particularly wind energy, is challenging due to the inherent …

[HTML][HTML] Flusion: Integrating multiple data sources for accurate influenza predictions

EL Ray, Y Wang, RD Wolfinger, NG Reich - Epidemics, 2025 - Elsevier
Over the last ten years, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has
organized an annual influenza forecasting challenge with the motivation that accurate …

Unified carbon emissions and market prices forecasts of the power grid

R Kohút, M Klaučo, M Kvasnica - Applied Energy, 2025 - Elsevier
Carbon emissions and market prices forecasts of the power grid are of great importance for
all electricity traders and consumers. Both forecasts enable flexible demand scheduling …

Improving out-of-sample forecasts of stock price indexes with forecast reconciliation and clustering

R Mattera, G Athanasopoulos, R Hyndman - Quantitative Finance, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
In this paper, we propose a novel approach to improving forecasts of stock market indexes
by considering common stock prices as hierarchical time series, combining clustering with …

[HTML][HTML] Optimal forecast reconciliation with time series selection

X Wang, RJ Hyndman, SL Wickramasuriya - European Journal of …, 2024 - Elsevier
Forecast reconciliation ensures forecasts of time series in a hierarchy adhere to aggregation
constraints, enabling aligned decision making. While forecast reconciliation can enhance …

Conformal Prediction for Hierarchical Data

G Principato, Y Amara-Ouali, Y Goude… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
Reconciliation has become an essential tool in multivariate point forecasting for hierarchical
time series. However, there is still a lack of understanding of the theoretical properties of …

Hierarchical reconciliation of convolutional gated recurrent units for unified forecasting of branched and aggregated district heating loads

X Li, S Wang, Z Chen - Energy, 2024 - Elsevier
Independent hierarchical estimations for the branched and aggregated streams of district
heating loads often conflict with each other, leading to significant uncertainties in the daily …